This book offers an in-depth and up-to-date review of different statistical tools that can be used to analyze and forecast the dynamics of two crucial for every energy company …
NV Karakatsani, DW Bunn - International Journal of Forecasting, 2008 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the day-ahead forecasting performance of fundamental price models for electricity spot prices, intended to capture:(i) the impacts of economic, technical, strategic …
A Misiorek, S Trueck, R Weron - Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & …, 2006 - degruyter.com
In this paper we assess the short-term forecasting power of different time series models in the electricity spot market. In particular we calibrate AR/ARX (''X''stands for exogenous …
When time series are observed with noise, the popular Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) unit root test and Johansen's cointegration test are oversized: the ADF tends to conclude for …
We investigate the management of a merchant wind energy farm co‐located with a grid‐ level storage facility and connected to a market through a transmission line. We formulate …
NV Karakatsani, DW Bunn - Energy Economics, 2008 - Elsevier
This paper analyses the complex, non-linear effects of spot price drivers in wholesale electricity markets: their intra-day dynamics and transient irregularities. The context is the UK …
V Gonzalez, J Contreras… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2011 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
We investigate the performance of two hybrid forecasting models to predict the next-day base load electricity prices on the APX power exchange for Great Britain. Hybrid models …
L Grossi, F Nan - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2019 - Elsevier
In this paper a robust approach to modeling electricity spot prices is introduced. Differently from what has been recently done in the literature on electricity price forecasting, where the …
Y Lu, N Suthaharan - Energy Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
Sudden dramatic rises in electricity prices, known as electricity “price spikes”, are ubiquitous in electricity spot markets worldwide. These price spikes often cluster. Energy retailers in …