Thinning-based models in the analysis of integer-valued time series: a review

MG Scotto, CH Weiss, S Gouveia - Statistical Modelling, 2015 - journals.sagepub.com
This article aims at providing a comprehensive survey of recent developments in the field of
integer-valued time series modelling, paying particular attention to models obtained as …

Bayesian modeling of multivariate time series of counts

R Soyer, D Zhang - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
In this article, we present an overview of recent advances in Bayesian modeling and
analysis of multivariate time series of counts. We discuss basic modeling strategies …

[图书][B] Non-linear time series

K Turkman, MG Scotto, ZB Patrícia - 2014 - Springer
Linear processes have been one of the most fundamental tools in modeling serially
dependent data. These models and methods heavily depend on Gaussian processes and …

Forecasting in INAR (1) model

N Silva, I Pereira, ME Silva - REVSTAT-Statistical Journal, 2009 - revstat.ine.pt
In this work we consider the problem of forecasting integer-valued time series, modelled by
the INAR (1) process introduced by McKenzie (1985) and Al-Osh and Alzaid (1987). The …

Contributions to the analysis of discrete-valued time series

IMM Silva - 2005 - repositorio-aberto.up.pt
Discrete-valued time series are common in practice, yet methods for their analysis have
been developed only recently. The fact that the variables take values on a finite or countably …

Statistical analysis of multi‐day solar irradiance using a threshold time series model

C Euán, Y Sun, BJ Reich - Environmetrics, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
The analysis of solar irradiance has important applications in predicting solar energy
production from solar power plants. Although the sun provides every day more energy than …

Optimal alarm systems for count processes

M Monteiro, I Pereira, MG Scotto - Communications in Statistics …, 2008 - Taylor & Francis
In many phenomena described by stochastic processes, the implementation of an alarm
system becomes fundamental to predict the occurrence of future events. In this work we …

Comparison of estimation and prediction methods for a zero-inflated geometric INAR (1) process with random coefficients

R Nasirzadeh, H Bakouch - Journal of Applied Statistics, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
This study explores zero-inflated count time series models used to analyze data sets with
characteristics such as overdispersion, excess zeros, and autocorrelation. Specifically, we …

[HTML][HTML] Bivariate discrete time series model for assessing the effects of rainfall and temperature on road accidents: the case of Morogoro and Pwani regions in …

G Magesa, EE Sinkwembe, N Shaban, T Ngailo - Scientific African, 2023 - Elsevier
In this article the contributions of weather on the occurrences of road accidents in Tanzania
particularly for Morogoro and Pwani Regions is discussed. The correlation between road …

Detection of additive outliers in Poisson INAR (1) time series

ME Silva, I Pereira - Mathematics of Energy and Climate Change …, 2015 - Springer
Outlying observations are commonly encountered in the analysis of time series. In this paper
a Bayesian approach is employed to detect additive outliers in order one Poisson integer …