[HTML][HTML] Statistical modelling of the ocean environment–A review of recent developments in theory and applications
Probabilistic modelling and statistical analysis of environmental conditions is important for
the design and assessment of ships and other marine structures. It will give a necessary …
the design and assessment of ships and other marine structures. It will give a necessary …
Exponential increases in high-temperature extremes in North America
Global warming in the 21st century will alter the frequency of extreme climatic events, such
as high-temperature anomalies and “heat waves”. Observations of extreme high …
as high-temperature anomalies and “heat waves”. Observations of extreme high …
Urban flood modelling under extreme rainfall conditions for building-level flood exposure analysis
The expansion of urban areas and the increasing frequency and magnitude of intense
rainfall events are anticipated to contribute to the widespread escalation of urban flood risk …
rainfall events are anticipated to contribute to the widespread escalation of urban flood risk …
[HTML][HTML] The effect of serial correlation in environmental conditions on estimates of extreme events
In offshore engineering, it is common practice to estimate long-term extremes under the
assumption that environmental conditions are independent. However, many environmental …
assumption that environmental conditions are independent. However, many environmental …
[HTML][HTML] A Bayesian extreme value theory modelling framework to assess corridor-wide pedestrian safety using autonomous vehicle sensor data
Pedestrians are a vulnerable road user group, and their crashes are generally spread
across the network rather than in a concentrated location. As such, understanding and …
across the network rather than in a concentrated location. As such, understanding and …
A novel decomposition-based approach for non-stationary hub-height wind speed modelling
Z Yang, S Dong - Energy, 2023 - Elsevier
An accurate description of hub-height wind speed characteristics is indispensable to
offshore wind resource assessment and structure reliability analysis. However, given the …
offshore wind resource assessment and structure reliability analysis. However, given the …
Influence of nonstationarity and dependence of extreme wave parameters on the reliability assessment of coastal structures-A case study
S Radfar, P Galiatsatou - Ocean Engineering, 2023 - Elsevier
The current general consensus is that because of global climate change, coastal
infrastructures may be subject to more extreme loads in the future than in the past. There has …
infrastructures may be subject to more extreme loads in the future than in the past. There has …
Nonstationary modelling of significant wave height using time series decomposition method
W Huang, X Zhu, Y Jin, X Shen - Ocean Engineering, 2024 - Elsevier
Marine structures are typically designed to withstand extreme events of a specific return
period derived within a stationary framework. Nevertheless, this stationarity assumption may …
period derived within a stationary framework. Nevertheless, this stationarity assumption may …
Practical non-stationary extreme value analysis of peaks over threshold using the generalised Pareto distribution: Estimating uncertainties in return values
Choice of tuning parameters influences the performance of non-stationary extreme value
modelling for peaks over threshold using the generalised Pareto (GP) distribution. We …
modelling for peaks over threshold using the generalised Pareto (GP) distribution. We …
[HTML][HTML] A penalised piecewise-linear model for non-stationary extreme value analysis of peaks over threshold
Metocean extremes often vary systematically with covariates such as direction and season.
In this work, we present non-stationary models for the size and rate of occurrence of peaks …
In this work, we present non-stationary models for the size and rate of occurrence of peaks …