Global, local, or glocal? Unravelling the interplay of geopolitical risks and financial stress

F Ahmed, C Gurdgiev, K Sohag, MM Islam… - Journal of Multinational …, 2024 - Elsevier
Since the start of the previous decade, regionalization of trade and investment flows has led
to complex coupling in local (country-level) and global risks. To-date, little is known about …

Oil shocks and financial stability in MENA countries

AH Elsayed, K Sohag, RM Sousa - Resources Policy, 2024 - Elsevier
We examine the link between financial stress and three sources of commodity fluctuations in
MENA countries, namely:(i) oil demand shocks;(ii) oil supply shocks; and (iii)(financial) risk …

The pass‐through effects of oil price shocks on sovereign credit risks of GCC countries: Evidence from the TVP‐SVAR‐SV framework

A Maghyereh, SA Ziadat… - International Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
We implement a two‐stage methodology based on the structural vector autoregressive and
time‐varying parameter vector autoregressive models to examine the time‐varying effect of …

G20 systemic risk: Are structural oil price shocks driving factors?

Z Dai, Q Jiang - Expert Systems with Applications, 2025 - Elsevier
Investigating systemic risk and its driving factors has always been a hot topic. Based on this,
we combine the tail-event driven network (TENET) and structural vector autoregression …

Oil shocks and currency behavior: A dual approach to digital and traditional currencies

S Afshan, T Yaqoob, YB Zaied, S Mishra… - Global Finance Journal, 2024 - Elsevier
Given the financial markets' growing preference for examining digital platforms, this study
explores the dynamic relationship of oil shocks with both conventional and digital …

Navigating Choppy Waters: Interplay between Financial Stress and Commodity Market Indices

H Ahmed, F Aslam, P Ferreira - Fractal and Fractional, 2024 - mdpi.com
Financial stress can have significant implications for individuals, businesses, asset prices
and the economy as a whole. This study examines the nonlinear structure and dynamic …

Bootstrap inference for linear time-varying coefficient models in locally stationary time series

Y Lin, M Song, B van der Sluis - Journal of Computational and …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
Time-varying coefficient models can capture evolving relationships. However, constructing
asymptotic confidence bands for coefficient curves in these models is challenging due to …

International financial integration and financial stress of emerging market economies: The role of institutional quality

SR Tan, XW Yeap, C Li - Emerging Markets Review, 2024 - Elsevier
In the wake of unprecedented financial liberalization policies adopted by Emerging Market
Economies (EMEs) since the late 20th century, their integration into global financial markets …

Delving into the nexus: financial stress and asymmetric monetary policy response

A Babu, AR Nair - Applied Economics, 2025 - Taylor & Francis
During periods of heightened stress, financial stability considerations assume critical
importance. However, central banks often exhibit an unsystematic response to financial …

PyTimeVar: A python package for trending time-varying time series models

M Song, B van der Sluis, Y Lin - 2024 - econstor.eu
Time-varying regression models with trends are commonly used to analyze long-term
tendencies and evolving relationships in data. However, statistical inference for parameter …