The myth of the rational voter: why democracies choose bad policies-new edition

B Caplan - The myth of the rational voter, 2011 - degruyter.com
The greatest obstacle to sound economic policy is not entrenched special interests or
rampant lobbying, but the popular misconceptions, irrational beliefs, and personal biases …

Voting as a rational choice: Why and how people vote to improve the well-being of others

A Edlin, A Gelman, N Kaplan - Rationality and society, 2007 - journals.sagepub.com
For voters withsocial'preferences, the expected utility of voting is approximately independent
of the size of the electorate, suggesting that rational voter turnouts can be substantial even in …

Altruism and turnout

JH Fowler - The Journal of Politics, 2006 - journals.uchicago.edu
Scholars have recently reworked the traditional calculus of voting model by adding a term for
benefits to others. Although the probability that a single vote affects the outcome of an …

The portfolio allocation paradox: An investigation into the nature of a very strong but puzzling relationship

PV Warwick, JN Druckman - European Journal of Political …, 2006 - Wiley Online Library
Perhaps the strongest empirical finding in political science is 'Gamson's Law': the near‐
perfect relationship that exists in parliamentary systems between a coalition party's seat …

Machine learning based on attribute interactions

A Jakulin - 2005 - eprints.fri.uni-lj.si
Two attributes $ A $ and $ B $ are said to interact when it helps to observe the attribute
values of both attributes together. This is an example of a $2 $-way interaction. In general, a …

Responsibility attribution for collective decision makers

R Duch, W Przepiorka… - American Journal of …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
We argue that individuals use responsibility attribution heuristics that apply to collective
decisions made, for example, by families, teams within firms, boards in international …

What is the probability your vote will make a difference?

A Gelman, N Silver, A Edlin - Economic Inquiry, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
One of the motivations for voting is that one vote can make a difference. In a presidential
election, the probability that your vote is decisive is equal to the probability that your state is …

The mathematics and statistics of voting power

A Gelman, JN Katz, F Tuerlinckx - Statistical Science, 2002 - JSTOR
In an election, voting power-the probability that a single vote is decisive-is affected by the
rule for aggregating votes into a single outcome. Voting power is important for studying …

The impact of closeness on turnout: An empirical relation based on a study of a two-round ballot

C Fauvelle-Aymar, A François - Public Choice, 2006 - Springer
Several methodological difficulties emerge from the empirical evaluation of the impact of
closeness on turnout. The most critical resides in the use of the actual electoral results to …

Come hell or high water: An investigation of the effects of a natural disaster on a local election

MA Bodet, M Thomas, C Tessier - Electoral studies, 2016 - Elsevier
How is electoral support for incumbent candidates shaped by natural disasters? Do voters in
districts newly recovering from a national disaster punish or reward incumbents for their …