Developing, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions

L Mizrahi, I Dallo, NJ van der Elst… - Reviews of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

Evolution of b-value during the seismic cycle: Insights from laboratory experiments on simulated faults

J Rivière, Z Lv, PA Johnson, C Marone - Earth and Planetary Science …, 2018 - Elsevier
We investigate the evolution of the frequency-magnitude b-value during stable and unstable
frictional sliding experiments. Using a biaxial shear configuration, we record broadband …

Intermittent criticality multi‐scale processes leading to large slip events on rough laboratory faults

G Kwiatek, P Martínez‐Garzón, T Goebel… - Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
We discuss data of three laboratory stick‐slip experiments on Westerly Granite samples
performed at elevated confining pressure and constant displacement rate on rough fracture …

Preslip and cascade processes initiating laboratory stick slip

GC McLaskey, DA Lockner - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Recent modeling studies have explored whether earthquakes begin with a large aseismic
nucleation process or initiate dynamically from the rapid growth of a smaller instability in a …

Seismic moment tensor and b value variations over successive seismic cycles in laboratory stick‐slip experiments

G Kwiatek, THW Goebel… - Geophysical Research …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
The formation of fault damage due to slip under high normal stresses can rarely be
monitored under in situ conditions. To advance our understanding of microfracture …

Acoustic energy release during the laboratory seismic cycle: Insights on laboratory earthquake precursors and prediction

DC Bolton, S Shreedharan, J Rivière… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Machine learning can predict the timing and magnitude of laboratory earthquakes
using statistics of acoustic emissions. The evolution of acoustic energy is critical for lab …

What controls the presence and characteristics of aftershocks in rock fracture in the lab?

J Davidsen, T Goebel, G Kwiatek… - Journal of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Aftershock cascades are a characteristic feature of natural seismicity, but underlying
mechanisms remain debated. Here, we experimentally explore the presence or absence of …

Comparative study on dynamic shear behavior and failure mechanism of two types of granite joint

F Meng, LNY Wong, H Zhou, Z Wang - Engineering geology, 2018 - Elsevier
Frictional instability such as fault slip rockburst, injection-induced earthquake and landslide
is frequently associated with the unstable sliding of pre-existing discontinuities. This study …

Characterizing acoustic signals and searching for precursors during the laboratory seismic cycle using unsupervised machine learning

DC Bolton, P Shokouhi… - Seismological …, 2019 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Recent work shows that machine learning (ML) can predict failure time and other aspects of
laboratory earthquakes using the acoustic signal emanating from the fault zone. These …

Stress drop–magnitude dependence of acoustic emissions during laboratory stick-slip

A Blanke, G Kwiatek, THW Goebel… - Geophysical Journal …, 2021 - academic.oup.com
Earthquake source parameters such as seismic stress drop and corner frequency are
observed to vary widely, leading to persistent discussion on potential scaling of stress drop …