Counterfactuals and the logic of causal selection.

T Quillien, CG Lucas - Psychological Review, 2023 - psycnet.apa.org
Everything that happens has a multitude of causes, but people make causal judgments
effortlessly. How do people select one particular cause (eg, the lightning bolt that set the …

If and or: Real and counterfactual possibilities in their truth and probability.

RMJ Byrne, PN Johnson-Laird - Journal of Experimental …, 2020 - psycnet.apa.org
The theory of mental models postulates that conditionals and disjunctions refer to
possibilities, real or counterfactual. Factual conditionals, for example,“If there's an apple …

[HTML][HTML] Connexive logic

H Wansing - 2006 - plato.stanford.edu
Many prominent systems of non-classical logic are subsystems of what is generally called
'classical logic.'Systems of connexive logic are contra-classical in the sense that they are …

[HTML][HTML] Probabilities of conditionals and previsions of iterated conditionals

G Sanfilippo, A Gilio, DE Over, N Pfeifer - International Journal of …, 2020 - Elsevier
We analyze selected iterated conditionals in the framework of conditional random quantities.
We point out that it is instructive to examine Lewis's triviality result, which shows the …

Connexive logic, probabilistic default reasoning, and compound conditionals

N Pfeifer, G Sanfilippo - Studia Logica, 2024 - Springer
We present two approaches to investigate the validity of connexive principles and related
formulas and properties within coherence-based probability logic. Connexive logic emerged …

[HTML][HTML] Probabilistic squares and hexagons of opposition under coherence

N Pfeifer, G Sanfilippo - International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 2017 - Elsevier
Various semantics for studying the square of opposition and the hexagon of opposition have
been proposed recently. We interpret sentences by imprecise (set-valued) probability …

[HTML][HTML] Probabilistic inferences from conjoined to iterated conditionals

G Sanfilippo, N Pfeifer, DE Over, A Gilio - International Journal of …, 2018 - Elsevier
There is wide support in logic, philosophy, and psychology for the hypothesis that the
probability of the indicative conditional of natural language, P (if A then B), is the conditional …

Integrating causal Bayes nets and inferentialism in conditional inference

M Oaksford, N Chater - Logic and uncertainty in the human mind, 2020 - taylorfrancis.com
This chapter argues that recent developments in inferentialism in the psychology of
reasoning that challenge the suppositional approach advocated by David Over can be …

[HTML][HTML] On conditional probabilities and their canonical extensions to Boolean algebras of compound conditionals

T Flaminio, A Gilio, L Godo, G Sanfilippo - International Journal of …, 2023 - Elsevier
In this paper we investigate canonical extensions of conditional probabilities to Boolean
algebras of conditionals. Before entering into the probabilistic setting, we first prove that the …

The logic and pragmatics of conditionals under uncertainty: a mental probability logic perspective

N Pfeifer - Conditionals: Logic, Linguistics and Psychology, 2023 - Springer
A central hypothesis in the new paradigm psychology of reasoning is that beliefs in everyday
sentences are rationally reconstructable by probability theory. In particular, beliefs in …