Volatility is rough

J Gatheral, T Jaisson, M Rosenbaum - Quantitative finance, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
Estimating volatility from recent high frequency data, we revisit the question of the
smoothness of the volatility process. Our main result is that log-volatility behaves essentially …

Volatility is (mostly) path-dependent

J Guyon, J Lekeufack - Quantitative Finance, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
We learn from data that volatility is mostly path-dependent: up to 90% of the variance of the
implied volatility of equity indexes is explained endogenously by past index returns, and up …

From constant to rough: A survey of continuous volatility modeling

G Di Nunno, K Kubilius, Y Mishura… - Mathematics, 2023 - mdpi.com
In this paper, we present a comprehensive survey of continuous stochastic volatility models,
discussing their historical development and the key stylized facts that have driven the field …

Rough volatility: fact or artefact?

R Cont, P Das - Sankhya B, 2024 - Springer
We investigate the statistical evidence for the use of 'rough'fractional processes with Hurst
exponent H< 0.5 for modeling the volatility of financial assets, using a model-free approach …

Volatility puzzle: Long memory or antipersistency

S Shi, J Yu - Management Science, 2023 - pubsonline.informs.org
The log realized volatility (RV) is often modeled as an autoregressive fractionally integrated
moving average model ARFIMA (1, d, 0). Two conflicting empirical results have been found …

Statistical inference for rough volatility: Minimax theory

CH Chong, M Hoffmann, Y Liu… - The Annals of …, 2024 - projecteuclid.org
Statistical inference for rough volatility: Minimax theory Page 1 The Annals of Statistics 2024,
Vol. 52, No. 4, 1277–1306 https://doi.org/10.1214/23-AOS2343 © Institute of Mathematical …

Deep hedging under rough volatility

B Horvath, J Teichmann, Ž Žurič - Risks, 2021 - mdpi.com
We investigate the performance of the Deep Hedging framework under training paths
beyond the (finite dimensional) Markovian setup. In particular, we analyse the hedging …

Statistical inference for rough volatility: Central limit theorems

CH Chong, M Hoffmann, Y Liu… - The Annals of Applied …, 2024 - projecteuclid.org
In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class
of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than …

Rough volatility, path-dependent PDEs and weak rates of convergence

O Bonesini, A Jacquier, A Pannier - arXiv preprint arXiv:2304.03042, 2023 - arxiv.org
In the setting of stochastic Volterra equations, and in particular rough volatility models, we
show that conditional expectations are the unique classical solutions to path-dependent …

On the universality of the volatility formation process: when machine learning and rough volatility agree

M Rosenbaum, J Zhang - arXiv preprint arXiv:2206.14114, 2022 - arxiv.org
We train an LSTM network based on a pooled dataset made of hundreds of liquid stocks
aiming to forecast the next daily realized volatility for all stocks. Showing the consistent …