[PDF][PDF] Limitation of ARIMA models in financial and monetary economics.

AC Petrică, S Stancu, A Tindeche - Theoretical & Applied Economics, 2016 - ebsco.ectap.ro
Abandoning the classical econometric modeling approach which consists in using
explanatory variables (suggested by economic theory for prediction), we choose instead to …

Forecasting silver prices: a univariate ARIMA approach and a proposed model for future direction

C Bagrecha, K Singh, G Sharma, PB Saranya - Mineral Economics, 2024 - Springer
The purpose of this study is to comprehensively examine and anticipate future silver prices
in the Indian context. Given silver's historical importance as a valuable material over 6000 …

Empirical Results of Modeling EUR/RON Exchange Rate using ARCH, GARCH, EGARCH, TARCH and PARCH models.

AC PETRICĂ, S Stancu - Romanian Statistical Review, 2017 - search.ebscohost.com
The aim of this study consists in examining the changes in the volatility of daily returns of
EUR/RON exchange rate using on the one hand symmetric GARCH models (ARCH and …

The comparison among ARIMA and hybrid ARIMA-GARCH models in forecasting the exchange rate of Iran

M Pahlavani, R Roshan - International Journal of Business and …, 2015 - ijbds.usb.ac.ir
This paper attempts to compare the forecasting performance of the ARIMA model and hybrid
ARMA-GARCH Models by using daily data of the Iran's exchange rate against the US Dollar …

Application of time series models (ARIMA, GARCH, and ARMA-GARCH) for stock market forecasting

OY Grachev - 2017 - huskiecommons.lib.niu.edu
This paper examines efficacy and limitations of time series models, namely ARIMA, GARCH,
and ARMA-GARCH for stock market returns forecasting. First, the paper assesses the …

Using artificial neural networks to forecast producer price index for New Zealand

LL Zhao, B Wang, J Mbachu… - International Journal of …, 2020 - inderscienceonline.com
Trend in the producer price is of much value to the central bank authorities in identifying the
cost-push inflation that can improve their understanding of future directions of inflation in the …

Forecasting model of Shanghai Stock Index based on ALSTM

XH Wang, SL Zhu, XP Ma, K Zhang… - … Science and Artificial …, 2021 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
ALSTM model is proposed to predict the closing price of the Shanghai Composite Index on
the next trading day. The ALSTM model prevents model overfitting by improving the …

[PDF][PDF] Forecasting of Real Effective Exchange Rate in Turkey with Box-Jenkins Approach: After the 2008 Global Crisis

AL SÜMER - NEW FRONTIERS IN SOCIAL, HUMAN AND … - researchgate.net
Sudden movements in exchange rates are associated with increased risk aversion in
cyclical uncertainty. In particular, in the floating exchange rate system, this relationship …

Stock Indices Forecast by Hybrid Model from GARCH Families: Evidence from Global Markets.

KH Chin, N Nguyen-Thanh… - Journal of Accounting …, 2021 - search.ebscohost.com
Recently, the rising of the Covid-19 pandemic has delivered severe panic to the whole world
and enhanced the caution of stockholders in the financial market. To alleviate the negative …

Building the Winning Percentage Model to Predict Regular Season Results of NBA Teams Based on Regression and Time Series Analysis of Common Basketball …

S Ou - 2017 - huskiecommons.lib.niu.edu
With the trend to apply statistics to predict sport games, the purpose of this paper is to find a
model that can help to predict the percentage of games won for NBA teams during a season …