As we live our lives, we repeatedly make decisions that shape our future circumstances and
affect the sort of person we will be. When choosing whether to start a family, or deciding on a …

Lara Buchak sets out an original account of the principles that govern rational decision-
making in the face of risk. A distinctive feature of these decisions is that individuals are …

A striking fact about the history of civilisation is just how early we are in it. There are 5000
years of recorded history behind us, but how many years are still to come? If we merely last …

In this paper, I begin by defending permissivism: the claim that, sometimes, there is more
than one way to rationally respond to a given body of evidence. Then I argue that, if we …

When making decisions, people naturally face uncertainty about the potential consequences
of their actions due in part to limits in their capacity to represent, evaluate or deliberate …

This chapter explores the topic of imprecise probabilities (IP) as it relates to model
validation. IP is a family of formal methods that aim to provide a better representation of …

1. Belief is not all-or-nothing. Opinions come in varying gradations of strength which can
range from full certainty of truth, through equal confidence in truth and falsehood, to …

After an introductory section, this article will focus on four questions: How should the Kyoto
School be defined? What is meant by its central philosophical concept of “absolute …

Suppose that you prefer A to B, B to C, and C to A. Your preferences violate Expected Utility
Theory by being cyclic. Money-pump arguments offer a way to show that such violations are …

Brian Hedden defends a radical view about the relationship between rationality, personal
identity, and time. On the standard view, personal identity over time plays a central role in …