Using conditional kernel density estimation for wind power density forecasting

J Jeon, JW Taylor - Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2012 - Taylor & Francis
Of the various renewable energy resources, wind power is widely recognized as one of the
most promising. The management of wind farms and electricity systems can benefit greatly …

A novel method for online real-time forecasting of crude oil price

Y Zhao, W Zhang, X Gong, C Wang - Applied Energy, 2021 - Elsevier
Improving the accuracy of crude oil price forecasting is helpful for stabilizing financial
markets and oil import and export trade. However, the extant models rarely focus on the …

Nonparametric short-term probabilistic forecasting for solar radiation

A Grantham, YR Gel, J Boland - Solar energy, 2016 - Elsevier
The current deep concerns on energy independence and global society's security at the face
of climate change have empowered the new “green energy” paradigm and led to a rapid …

Density forecasting of daily electricity demand with ARMA-GARCH, CAViaR, and CARE econometric models

C Bikcora, L Verheijen, S Weiland - Sustainable Energy, Grids and …, 2018 - Elsevier
The emerging need for risk-aware operational decisions on power systems calls for the
development of accurate probabilistic load forecasting methods. To serve this purpose …

Prediction intervals for global solar irradiation forecasting using regression trees methods

C Voyant, F Motte, G Notton, A Fouilloy, ML Nivet… - Renewable energy, 2018 - Elsevier
A global horizontal irradiation prediction (from 1 h to 6 h) is performed using 2 persistence
models (simple and “smart” ones) and 4 machine learning tools belonging to the regression …

Uncertainties in global radiation time series forecasting using machine learning: The multilayer perceptron case

C Voyant, G Notton, C Darras, A Fouilloy, F Motte - Energy, 2017 - Elsevier
As global solar radiation forecasting is a very important challenge, several methods are
devoted to this goal with different levels of accuracy and confidence. In this study we …

Data selection to avoid overfitting for foreign exchange intraday trading with machine learning

YL Peng, WP Lee - Applied Soft Computing, 2021 - Elsevier
Algorithmic trading requires tuning hyperparameters to fit the time series data; however, it
often suffers from overfitting of data that can lead to loss of money in action. Further, only a …

Improvement of time forecasting models using a novel hybridization of bootstrap and double bootstrap artificial neural networks

NH Zainuddin, MS Lola, MA Djauhari, F Yusof… - Applied Soft …, 2019 - Elsevier
Hybrid models such as the Artificial Neural Network-Autoregressive Integrated Moving
Average (ANN–ARIMA) model are widely used in forecasting. However, inaccuracies and …

Change‐point analysis in financial networks

S Banerjee, K Guhathakurta - Stat, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
A major impact of globalization has been the information flow across the financial markets
rendering them vulnerable to financial contagion. Research has focused on network …

Robust bootstrap forecast densities for GARCH returns and volatilities

C Trucíos, LK Hotta, E Ruiz - Journal of Statistical Computation …, 2017 - Taylor & Francis
Bootstrap procedures are useful to obtain forecast densities for both returns and volatilities
in the context of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models. In this …