[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice

F Petropoulos, D Apiletti, V Assimakopoulos… - International Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …

The future of manufacturing: A Delphi-based scenario analysis on Industry 4.0

G Culot, G Orzes, M Sartor, G Nassimbeni - Technological forecasting and …, 2020 - Elsevier
Industry 4.0 is expected to impart profound changes to the configuration of manufacturing
companies with regards to what their value proposition will be and how their production …

Visitor arrivals forecasts amid COVID-19: A perspective from the Europe team

A Liu, L Vici, V Ramos, S Giannoni, A Blake - Annals of Tourism Research, 2021 - Elsevier
In a context in which the tourism industry is jeopardised by the COVID-19 pandemic, and
potentially by other pandemics in the future, the capacity to produce accurate forecasts is …

Forecasting in humanitarian operations: Literature review and research needs

N Altay, A Narayanan - International journal of forecasting, 2022 - Elsevier
Forecasting research in the humanitarian context is scarce. In this literature review, our goal
is not only to show why forecasting research is important for the humanitarian sector, but …

[HTML][HTML] Scenarios as a scholarly methodology to produce “interesting research”

R Ramirez, M Mukherjee, S Vezzoli, AM Kramer - Futures, 2015 - Elsevier
Recent debates identified the insufficient production of “interesting research”, namely
research that is innovative and develops theory while being both usable and rigorous. We …

Bibliometric overview of the Technological Forecasting and Social Change journal: Analysis from 1970 to 2018

S Singh, S Dhir, VM Das, A Sharma - Technological Forecasting and Social …, 2020 - Elsevier
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the evolution of Technological Forecasting and
Social Change journal for a period between 1970 and 2018 for 4248 articles. The growing …

[图书][B] Scenario planning in organizations: how to create, use, and assess scenarios

TJ Chermack - 2011 - books.google.com
Scenario planning helps organization leaders, executives and decision-makers envision
and develop strategies for multiple possible futures instead of just one. It enables …

Heading towards a multimodal city of the future?: Multi-stakeholder scenarios for urban mobility

A Spickermann, V Grienitz… - … Forecasting and Social …, 2014 - Elsevier
In redesigning city infrastructure to become sustainable and future-oriented, critical city
subsystems, such as the urban mobility system, present a serious challenge. In order to …

The impact of autonomous trucks on business models in the automotive and logistics industry–a Delphi-based scenario study

C Fritschy, S Spinler - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2019 - Elsevier
The objective of this paper is to explore the impact of autonomous trucks on business
models in the automotive and logistics industry. A Delphi-based scenario study for the year …

Does the intuitive logics method–and its recent enhancements–produce “effective” scenarios?

G Wright, R Bradfield, G Cairns - Technological Forecasting and Social …, 2013 - Elsevier
In this paper, we synthesize the extant literature to establish the common objectives of
scenario interventions within organizations and contextualize the well-established, but …