A review of predictive uncertainty estimation with machine learning

H Tyralis, G Papacharalampous - Artificial Intelligence Review, 2024 - Springer
Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability
distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users …

A review of probabilistic forecasting and prediction with machine learning

H Tyralis, G Papacharalampous - arXiv preprint arXiv:2209.08307, 2022 - arxiv.org
Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability
distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users …

Predictive inference is free with the jackknife+-after-bootstrap

B Kim, C Xu, R Barber - Advances in Neural Information …, 2020 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Ensemble learning is widely used in applications to make predictions in complex decision
problems---for example, averaging models fitted to a sequence of samples bootstrapped …

Deep kernel survival analysis and subject-specific survival time prediction intervals

GH Chen - Machine Learning for Healthcare Conference, 2020 - proceedings.mlr.press
Kernel survival analysis methods predict subject-specific survival curves and times using
information about which training subjects are most similar to a test subject. These most …

T-sci: A two-stage conformal inference algorithm with guaranteed coverage for cox-mlp

J Teng, Z Tan, Y Yuan - International conference on machine …, 2021 - proceedings.mlr.press
It is challenging to deal with censored data, where we only have access to the incomplete
information of survival time instead of its exact value. Fortunately, under linear predictor …

Mould wear-out prediction in the plastic injection moulding industry: a case study

FD Frumosu, GØ Rønsch, M Kulahci - International Journal of …, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
The current work addresses an industrial problem related to injection moulding
manufacturing with focus on mould wear-out prediction. Real data sets are provided by an …

Random forests for survival data: which methods work best and under what conditions?

M Berkowitz, RMK Altman, TM Loughin - The International Journal of …, 2024 - degruyter.com
Few systematic comparisons of methods for constructing survival trees and forests exist in
the literature. Importantly, when the goal is to predict a survival time or estimate a survival …

Predicting with confidence from survival data

H Boström, U Johansson… - Conformal and …, 2019 - proceedings.mlr.press
Survival modeling concerns predicting whether or not an event will occur before or on a
given point in time. In a recent study, the conformal prediction framework was applied to this …

Conformal prediction with censored data using Kaplan-Meier method

X Sun, Y Wang - Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 2024 - iopscience.iop.org
In this paper, we introduce a prediction algorithm founded on conformal prediction, tailored
for constructing prediction intervals in the context of censored survival data. Conformal …

Orange Juice: Enhancing Machine Learning Interpretability

A Kuratomi Hernández - 2024 - diva-portal.org
In the current state of AI development, it is reasonable to think that AI will continue to expand
and be increasingly utilized across different fields, highly impacting every aspect of …