[HTML][HTML] Stock market returns, volatility, correlation and liquidity during the COVID-19 crisis: Evidence from the Markov switching approach

M Just, K Echaust - Finance Research Letters, 2020 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the relationship between US stock market returns (S&P500) and
three indicators of the market, namely implied volatility, implied correlation and liquidity. It …

Emotions in the stock market

J Griffith, M Najand, J Shen - Journal of Behavioral Finance, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
The authors explore the interaction between media content and market returns and volatility.
They utilize propriety investor sentiment measures developed by Thompson Reuters …

[HTML][HTML] A comparison of machine learning methods for predicting the direction of the us stock market on the basis of volatility indices

G Campisi, S Muzzioli, B De Baets - International Journal of Forecasting, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the information content of volatility indices for the purpose of
predicting the future direction of the stock market. To this end, different machine learning …

Using social media mining technology to improve stock price forecast accuracy

JY Huang, JH Liu - Journal of Forecasting, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Many stock investors make investment decisions based on stock‐price‐related chip
indicators. However, in addition to quantified data, financial news often has a nonnegligible …

Regime switching vine copula models for global equity and volatility indices

H Fink, Y Klimova, C Czado, J Stöber - Econometrics, 2017 - mdpi.com
For nearly every major stock market there exist equity and implied volatility indices. These
play important roles within finance: be it as a benchmark, a measure of general uncertainty …

Does supporting Ukraine pay well? The performance of companies that suspended their business in Russia

M Ayoub, M Qadan - Research in International Business and Finance, 2023 - Elsevier
Using recent data about US companies that announced they were suspending their
business activities in Russia following the invasion of Ukraine, we test how their decision …

Predicting stock and bond market returns with emotions: Evidence from futures markets

J Shen, J Griffith, M Najand, L Sun - Journal of Behavioral Finance, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
We explore the ability of market emotions (fear, gloom, joy, optimism) to predict S&P 500
Index and 10-year Treasury notes futures returns by utilizing VAR and TGARCH models. In …

The Influence of Emotions on Cross-Section Returns: Tests for Cognitive Appraisal Theory

J Shen, M Najand, C Chen - Journal of Behavioral Finance, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
This study provides empirical evidence supporting Hirshleifer's psychology-based asset-
pricing theory proposition that investors' emotions affect contemporary stock returns. The …

Volatility timing, sentiment, and the short-term profitability of VIX-based cross-sectional trading strategies

W Ding, K Mazouz, Q Wang - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper explores the profitability of simple short-term cross-sectional trading strategies
based on the implied volatility index (VIX), often referred to as an “investor fear gauge” in the …

Do stock market fear and economic policy uncertainty co-move with COVID-19 fear? Evidence from the US and UK

G Rubbaniy, AA Khalid, A Tessema… - Studies in Economics …, 2023 - emerald.com
Purpose The purpose of the paper is to investigate co-movement of major implied volatility
indices and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices with both the health-based fear index …