Causal inference for time series

J Runge, A Gerhardus, G Varando, V Eyring… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Many research questions in Earth and environmental sciences are inherently causal,
requiring robust analyses to establish whether and how changes in one variable cause …

Discovering causal relations and equations from data

G Camps-Valls, A Gerhardus, U Ninad, G Varando… - Physics Reports, 2023 - Elsevier
Physics is a field of science that has traditionally used the scientific method to answer
questions about why natural phenomena occur and to make testable models that explain the …

[HTML][HTML] Climate model projections from the scenario model intercomparison project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6

C Tebaldi, K Debeire, V Eyring, E Fischer… - Earth System …, 2021 - esd.copernicus.org
Abstract The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) defines and
coordinates the main set of future climate projections, based on concentration-driven …

The three major axes of terrestrial ecosystem function

M Migliavacca, T Musavi, MD Mahecha, JA Nelson… - Nature, 2021 - nature.com
The leaf economics spectrum, and the global spectrum of plant forms and functions revealed
fundamental axes of variation in plant traits, which represent different ecological strategies …

Human influence on the climate system (Chapter 3)

V Eyring, NP Gillett, KM Achuta Rao, R Barimalala… - 2021 - pure.iiasa.ac.at
The AR5 concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear, evident from
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …

Framing, Context, and Methods (Chapter 1)

D Chen, M Rojas, BH Samset, K Cobb… - 2021 - pure.iiasa.ac.at
Working Group I (WGI) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assesses
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …

Comparison of reanalysis and observational precipitation datasets including ERA5 and WFDE5

B Hassler, A Lauer - Atmosphere, 2021 - mdpi.com
Precipitation is a key component of the hydrological cycle and one of the most important
variables in weather and climate studies. Accurate and reliable precipitation data are crucial …

Quantifying progress across different CMIP phases with the ESMValTool

L Bock, A Lauer, M Schlund, M Barreiro… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
More than 40 model groups worldwide are participating in the Coupled Model
Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), providing a new and rich source of information to …

Rarest rainfall events will see the greatest relative increase in magnitude under future climate change

GJ Gründemann, N van de Giesen, L Brunner… - … Earth & Environment, 2022 - nature.com
Future rainfall extremes are projected to increase with global warming according to theory
and climate models, but common (annual) and rare (decennial or centennial) extremes …

[HTML][HTML] Emergent constraints on equilibrium climate sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6?

M Schlund, A Lauer, P Gentine… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
An important metric for temperature projections is the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS),
which is defined as the global mean surface air temperature change caused by a doubling …