Research opportunities in preparing supply chains of essential goods for future pandemics
The COVID-19 pandemic severely tested the resilience and robustness of supply chains for
medically critical items and various common household goods. Severe and prolonged …
medically critical items and various common household goods. Severe and prolonged …
[PDF][PDF] Policy implications of models of the spread of coronavirus: Perspectives and opportunities for economists
This paper provides a critical review of models of the spread of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-
2) epidemic that have been influential in recent policy decisions. There is tremendous …
2) epidemic that have been influential in recent policy decisions. There is tremendous …
The challenges of modeling and forecasting the spread of COVID-19
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has placed epidemic modeling at the
forefront of worldwide public policy making. Nonetheless, modeling and forecasting the …
forefront of worldwide public policy making. Nonetheless, modeling and forecasting the …
Inferring change points in the spread of COVID-19 reveals the effectiveness of interventions
INTRODUCTION When faced with the outbreak of a novel epidemic such as coronavirus
disease 2019 (COVID-19), rapid response measures are required by individuals, as well as …
disease 2019 (COVID-19), rapid response measures are required by individuals, as well as …
The role of seasonality in the spread of COVID-19 pandemic
It has been reported that the transmission of COVID-19 can be influenced by the variation of
environmental factors due to the seasonal cycle. However, its underlying mechanism in the …
environmental factors due to the seasonal cycle. However, its underlying mechanism in the …
Optimal mitigation policies in a pandemic: Social distancing and working from home
C Jones, T Philippon… - The Review of Financial …, 2021 - academic.oup.com
We study an economy's response to an unexpected epidemic. The spread of the disease
can be mitigated by reducing consumption and hours worked in the office. Working from …
can be mitigated by reducing consumption and hours worked in the office. Working from …
Susceptible-infected-recovered (sir) dynamics of covid-19 and economic impact
AA Toda - arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.11221, 2020 - arxiv.org
I estimate the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model for Coronavirus
Disease 2019 (COVID-19). The transmission rate is heterogeneous across countries and far …
Disease 2019 (COVID-19). The transmission rate is heterogeneous across countries and far …
Analytical features of the SIR model and their applications to COVID-19
NA Kudryashov, MA Chmykhov… - Applied Mathematical …, 2021 - Elsevier
A classic two-parameter epidemiological SIR-model of the coronavirus propagation is
considered. The first integrals of the system of non-linear equations are obtained. The …
considered. The first integrals of the system of non-linear equations are obtained. The …
Analytical solution of the SIR-model for the temporal evolution of epidemics. Part A: time-independent reproduction factor
M Kröger, R Schlickeiser - Journal of Physics A: Mathematical …, 2020 - iopscience.iop.org
We revisit the susceptible-infectious-recovered/removed (SIR) model which is one of the
simplest compartmental models. Many epidemological models are derivatives of this basic …
simplest compartmental models. Many epidemological models are derivatives of this basic …
[HTML][HTML] Modeling and forecasting of COVID-19 using a hybrid dynamic model based on SEIRD with ARIMA corrections
M Ala'raj, M Majdalawieh, N Nizamuddin - Infectious Disease Modelling, 2021 - Elsevier
The outbreak of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) attracted worldwide attention. It has posed a
significant challenge for the global economies, especially the healthcare sector. Even with a …
significant challenge for the global economies, especially the healthcare sector. Even with a …