Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards
Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties,
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …
[HTML][HTML] Developing post-alert messaging for ShakeAlert, the earthquake early warning system for the West Coast of the United States of America
As ShakeAlert, the earthquake early warning system for the West Coast of the US, begins its
transition to operational public alerting, we explore how post-alert messaging might …
transition to operational public alerting, we explore how post-alert messaging might …
Evidence-based guidelines for protective actions and earthquake early warning systems
Earthquake early warning (EEW) systems are becoming increasingly available or are in
development throughout the world. As these systems develop, it is important to provide …
development throughout the world. As these systems develop, it is important to provide …
Fighting misinformation in seismology: Expert opinion on earthquake facts vs. fiction
Misinformation carries the potential for immense damage to public understanding of science
and for evidence-based decision making at an individual and policy level. Our research …
and for evidence-based decision making at an individual and policy level. Our research …
New opportunities to study earthquake precursors
The topic of earthquake prediction has a long history, lit-tered with failed attempts. Part of the
challenge is that possible precursory signals are usually reported after the event, and the …
challenge is that possible precursory signals are usually reported after the event, and the …
Pseudoprospective evaluation of the foreshock traffic‐light system in Ridgecrest and implications for aftershock hazard assessment
The M w 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence in California in July 2019 offered an
opportunity to evaluate in near‐real time the temporal and spatial variations in the average …
opportunity to evaluate in near‐real time the temporal and spatial variations in the average …
Prospective and retrospective evaluation of the US Geological Survey Public aftershock forecast for the 2019–2021 Southwest Puerto Rico Earthquake and …
NJ van der Elst, JL Hardebeck… - Seismological …, 2022 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract The M w 6.4 Southwest Puerto Rico Earthquake of 7 January 2020 was
accompanied by a robust fore‐and aftershock sequence. The US Geological Survey (USGS) …
accompanied by a robust fore‐and aftershock sequence. The US Geological Survey (USGS) …
Global models for short-term earthquake forecasting and predictive skill assessment
S Nandan, Y Kamer, G Ouillon, S Hiemer… - The European Physical …, 2021 - Springer
We present rigorous tests of global short-term earthquake forecasts using Epidemic Type
Aftershock Sequence models with two different time kernels (one with exponentially tapered …
Aftershock Sequence models with two different time kernels (one with exponentially tapered …
Method selection in short-term eruption forecasting
MG Whitehead, MS Bebbington - Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal …, 2021 - Elsevier
For accurate and timely information on the evolving state of our volcanoes we need reliable
short-term forecasts. These forecasts directly impact crisis management from evacuations …
short-term forecasts. These forecasts directly impact crisis management from evacuations …
Aftershock Forecasting
Aftershocks can compound the impacts of a major earthquake, disrupting recovery efforts
and potentially further damaging weakened buildings and infrastructure. Forecasts of the …
and potentially further damaging weakened buildings and infrastructure. Forecasts of the …