When to end a lock down? How fast must vaccination campaigns proceed in order to keep health costs in check?

C Gros, T Czypionka, D Gros - Royal Society Open …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
We propose a simple rule of thumb for countries which have embarked on a vaccination
campaign while still facing the need to keep non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) in place …

[图书][B] Modelling estimates of expected size: the August 2021 COVID-19 outbreak in Aotearoa

J Gilmour, E Harvey, J Looker, F Mackenzie… - 2021 - tepunahamatatini.ac.nz
This report, produced near the start of the August 2021 COVID-19 outbreak, was written to
provide advice to officials on the likely number of cases that might have existed in the …

[图书][B] Impact of wastewater testing results on preliminary estimates of COVID-19 community transmission as of 18 August 2021

J Gilmour, E Harvey, F Mackenzie, O Maclaren… - 2021 - tepunahamatatini.ac.nz
On 17th August 2021 it was announced that a case of community transmission of COVID-19
with no clear link to the border or MIQ had been identified in Devonport, Auckland. In the …

[PDF][PDF] 'Phased Transition'to Phase Transition: The Network Consequences of Reconnecting

J Gilmour, E Harvey, D O'Neale, S Turnbull - tepunahamatatini.ac.nz
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY As New Zealand, and specifically Auckland, responds to the
ongoing outbreak of COVID-19 which began in August, 2021, we seek to explain and …