A developed hybrid forecasting system for energy consumption structure forecasting based on fuzzy time series and information granularity

P Jiang, H Yang, H Li, Y Wang - Energy, 2021 - Elsevier
The energy consumption structure has a crucial influence on the sustainable development of
the economy and on the environment, and it has drawn the attention of scholars and …

[PDF][PDF] The COVID-19 outbreak and oil stock price fluctuations: Evidence from China

Y Zhang - Energy Research Letters, 2021 - erl.scholasticahq.com
This study explores the relation between Chinese oil stock price volatility and the COVID-19
pandemic using an autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model and its …

Forecasting Chinese stock market volatility with high-frequency intraday and current return information

X Wu, A Zhao, Y Wang, Y Han - Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2024 - Elsevier
In this paper, we propose the Real-Time Realized GARCH model incorporating the high-
frequency intraday information and current return information simultaneously to model and …

Interval prediction of crude oil spot price volatility: An improved hybrid model integrating decomposition strategy, IESN and ARIMA

J Zhang, Z Liu - Expert Systems with Applications, 2024 - Elsevier
Crude oil price volatility prediction are important for energy policymaking and investment risk
avoidance, and have attracted a great deal of global attention. In recent years, although …

Evaluating the performance of futures hedging using factors-driven realized volatility

X Yu, Y Li, X Gong, N Zhang - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2022 - Elsevier
The complexity and uncertainty of the financial market mainly stem from the rich market
internal transaction information and a wide range effect of external factors. To this end, this …

Performance of the Realized-GARCH Model against Other GARCH Types in Predicting Cryptocurrency Volatility

RGS Queiroz, SA David - Risks, 2023 - mdpi.com
Cryptocurrencies have increasingly attracted the attention of several players interested in
crypto assets. Their rapid growth and dynamic nature require robust methods for modeling …

Can internet concern about COVID-19 help predict stock markets: new evidence from high-concern and low-concern periods

J Ren, Y Guo, J Li, J Li - Applied Economics, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
The unprecedented outbreak of Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has resulted in
extreme volatility in stock markets. This study mainly examines the predictive ability of the …

Option volatility investment strategy: The combination of neural Network and classical volatility prediction model

Y Teng, Y Li, X Wu - Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
This study focuses on the volatility prediction and option volatility investment. By
investigating the traditional Volatility Prediction Model and machine learning algorithms, this …

[HTML][HTML] Semi-Nonparametric Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model with Application to Bitcoin Volatility Estimation

T Juri, P Bogdan - Экономический журнал Высшей школы …, 2022 - cyberleninka.ru
This study raises the problem of modeling conditional volatility under the random shocks'
normality assumption violation. To obtain more accurate estimates of GARCH process …

Combining Realized Volatility Estimators Based on Economic Performance

V Skintzi, S Fameliti - Available at SSRN 5090177 - papers.ssrn.com
We propose a forecast combination scheme that employs time-varying weights, which
depend on the financial decision for which the forecasts are used. Combination weights are …