Conformal prediction: a unified review of theory and new challenges

M Fontana, G Zeni, S Vantini - Bernoulli, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
Conformal prediction: A unified review of theory and new challenges Page 1 Bernoulli 29(1),
2023, 1–23 https://doi.org/10.3150/21-BEJ1447 Conformal prediction: A unified review of …

Uncertainty sets for image classifiers using conformal prediction

A Angelopoulos, S Bates, J Malik, MI Jordan - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2020 - arxiv.org
Convolutional image classifiers can achieve high predictive accuracy, but quantifying their
uncertainty remains an unresolved challenge, hindering their deployment in consequential …

Classification with valid and adaptive coverage

Y Romano, M Sesia, E Candes - Advances in Neural …, 2020 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Abstract Conformal inference, cross-validation+, and the jackknife+ are hold-out methods
that can be combined with virtually any machine learning algorithm to construct prediction …

Conformal prediction with conditional guarantees

I Gibbs, JJ Cherian, EJ Candès - arXiv preprint arXiv:2305.12616, 2023 - arxiv.org
We consider the problem of constructing distribution-free prediction sets with finite-sample
conditional guarantees. Prior work has shown that it is impossible to provide exact …

Sample-efficient safety assurances using conformal prediction

R Luo, S Zhao, J Kuck, B Ivanovic… - … Journal of Robotics …, 2024 - journals.sagepub.com
When deploying machine learning models in high-stakes robotics applications, the ability to
detect unsafe situations is crucial. Early warning systems can provide alerts when an unsafe …

Conformalized survival analysis

E Candès, L Lei, Z Ren - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
In this paper, we develop an inferential method based on conformal prediction, which can
wrap around any survival prediction algorithm to produce calibrated, covariate-dependent …

Conformal inference is (almost) free for neural networks trained with early stopping

Z Liang, Y Zhou, M Sesia - International Conference on …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Early stopping based on hold-out data is a popular regularization technique designed to
mitigate overfitting and increase the predictive accuracy of neural networks. Models trained …

[HTML][HTML] A novel day-ahead regional and probabilistic wind power forecasting framework using deep CNNs and conformalized regression forests

J Jonkers, DN Avendano, G Van Wallendael… - Applied Energy, 2024 - Elsevier
Regional forecasting is crucial for a balanced energy delivery system and for achieving the
global transition to clean energy. However, regional wind forecasting is challenging due to …

Length optimization in conformal prediction

S Kiyani, G Pappas, H Hassani - arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.18814, 2024 - arxiv.org
Conditional validity and length efficiency are two crucial aspects of conformal prediction
(CP). Achieving conditional validity ensures accurate uncertainty quantification for data …

Integrative conformal p-values for out-of-distribution testing with labelled outliers

Z Liang, M Sesia, W Sun - … of the Royal Statistical Society Series …, 2024 - academic.oup.com
This paper presents a conformal inference method for out-of-distribution testing that
leverages side information from labelled outliers, which are commonly underutilized or even …