Exploring the predictability of cryptocurrencies via Bayesian hidden Markov models

C Koki, S Leonardos, G Piliouras - Research in International Business and …, 2022 - Elsevier
In this paper, we consider a variety of multi-state hidden Markov models for predicting and
explaining the Bitcoin, Ether and Ripple returns in the presence of state (regime) dynamics …

Bayesian analysis of high-frequency water temperature time series through Markov switching autoregressive models

L Spezia, S Gibbs, M Glendell, R Helliwell… - … Modelling & Software, 2023 - Elsevier
An hourly water temperature time series recorded at the Gairn catchment (Scotland) is
analysed here along with seven covariates. Modelling river temperature time series is …

Wind power prediction based on wind speed forecast using hidden Markov model

K Ghasvarian Jahromi, D Gharavian… - Journal of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This study examines a new approach for short‐term wind speed and power forecasting
based on the mixture of Gaussian hidden Markov models (MoG‐HMMs). The proposed …

Deep learning-based intelligent management for sewage treatment plants

K Wan, B Du, J Wang, Z Guo, D Feng, X Gao… - Journal of Central South …, 2022 - Springer
It is generally believed that intelligent management for sewage treatment plants (STPs) is
essential to the sustainable engineering of future smart cities. The core of management lies …

Markov switching

Y Song, T Woźniak - arXiv preprint arXiv:2002.03598, 2020 - arxiv.org
Markov switching models are a popular family of models that introduces time-variation in the
parameters in the form of their state-or regime-specific values. Importantly, this time-variation …

Do cryptocurrency prices camouflage latent economic effects? A Bayesian hidden Markov approach

C Koki, S Leonardos, G Piliouras - Future Internet, 2020 - mdpi.com
We study the Bitcoin and Ether price series under a financial perspective. Specifically, we
use two econometric models to perform a two-layer analysis to study the correlation and …

Do cryptocurrency prices camouflage latent economic effects? A bayesian hidden markov approach

C Koki, S Leonardos, G Piliouras - Proceedings, 2019 - mdpi.com
With Bitcoin, Ether and more than 2000 cryptocurrencies already forming a multi-billion
dollar market, a proper understanding of their statistical and financial properties still remains …

Modeling three-dimensional T-cell motility using clustering and hidden Markov models

E Torkashvand - Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 2023 - journals.sagepub.com
Recent advances in imaging technologies now allow for real-time tracking of fast-moving
immune cells as they search for targets such as pathogens and tumor cells through complex …

A Rationale for Past/Prediction Span Proportion in Markov Chain-Based Predictive Modeling of Energy-Related Compositional Time Series Data

H Ahmad, N Hayat - Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering, 2022 - Springer
This article aims to investigate the relationship between the available past and desired
prediction spans of the compositional time series (CTS) data, while comparatively analyzing …

Switching Coefficients or Automatic Variable Selection: An Application in Forecasting Commodity Returns

M Guidolin, M Pedio - Forecasting, 2022 - mdpi.com
In this paper, we conduct a thorough investigation of the predictive ability of forward and
backward stepwise regressions and hidden Markov models for the futures returns of several …