Selecting among competing statistical models is a core challenge in science. However, the
many possible approaches and techniques for model selection, and the conflicting …

Environmental changes are expected to alter both the distribution and the abundance of
organisms. A disproportionate amount of past work has focused on distribution only, either …

Over the past 30 years, one of the most rapidly expanding areas in ecology has been the
development of structured population models, where individuals have attributes such as …

Integral projection models (IPM s) use information on how an individual's state influences its
vital rates–survival, growth and reproduction–to make population projections. IPM s are …

Niche differences and average fitness differences jointly determine coexistence. However,
little empirical information about the magnitude of these two mechanisms is available. Using …

The timing of life events (phenology) can be influenced by climate. Studies from around the
world tell us that climate cues and species' responses can vary greatly. If variation in climate …

Modern reliance on fossil fuels has ushered in extreme temperatures globally and abnormal
precipitation patterns in many regions. Although the climate is changing rapidly, other …

Biotic interactions are often ignored in assessments of climate change impacts. However,
climate‐related changes in species interactions, often mediated through increased …

A change in a climate variable may alter a species' abundance not only through a direct
effect on that species' vital rates, but also through 'indirect'effects mediated by species …

In order to understand how changes in individual performance (growth, survival or
reproduction) influence population dynamics and evolution, ecologists are increasingly …