Understanding heavy tails of flood peak distributions

B Merz, S Basso, S Fischer, D Lun… - Water Resources …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Statistical distributions of flood peak discharge often show heavy tail behavior, that is,
extreme floods are more likely to occur than would be predicted by commonly used …

Assessing extremes in hydroclimatology: A review on probabilistic methods

SD Nerantzaki, SM Papalexiou - Journal of Hydrology, 2022 - Elsevier
Here we review methods used for probabilistic analysis of extreme events in
Hydroclimatology. We focus on streamflow, precipitation, and temperature extremes at …

Rarest rainfall events will see the greatest relative increase in magnitude under future climate change

GJ Gründemann, N van de Giesen, L Brunner… - … Earth & Environment, 2022 - nature.com
Future rainfall extremes are projected to increase with global warming according to theory
and climate models, but common (annual) and rare (decennial or centennial) extremes …

Rainfall generation revisited: Introducing CoSMoS‐2s and advancing copula‐based intermittent time series modeling

SM Papalexiou - Water Resources Research, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
What elements should a parsimonious model reproduce at a single scale to precisely
simulate rainfall at many scales? We posit these elements are:(a) the probability of dry and …

Differential orographic impact on sub-hourly, hourly, and daily extreme precipitation

G Formetta, F Marra, E Dallan, M Zaramella… - Advances in Water …, 2022 - Elsevier
Extreme precipitation of multiple durations is responsible for major natural hazards in
mountainous regions, such as flash floods and debris flows. Understanding the orographic …

Sensitivity of flood frequency analysis to data record, statistical model, and parameter estimation methods: An evaluation over the contiguous United States

L Hu, EI Nikolopoulos, F Marra… - Journal of Flood Risk …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The current statistical methods applied in flood frequency analysis require long data records
to obtain reliable estimates, particularly for long return periods. Moreover, the choice of the …

A unified framework for extreme subdaily precipitation frequency analyses based on ordinary events

F Marra, M Borga, E Morin - Geophysical Research Letters, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The metastatistical extreme value approach proved promising in the frequency analysis of
daily precipitation from ordinary events, outperforming traditional methods based on …

A simplified MEV formulation to model extremes emerging from multiple nonstationary underlying processes

F Marra, D Zoccatelli, M Armon, E Morin - Advances in Water Resources, 2019 - Elsevier
This paper presents a Simplified Metastatistical Extreme Value formulation (SMEV) able to
model hydro-meteorological extremes emerging from multiple underlying processes. The …

[HTML][HTML] Coastal and orographic effects on extreme precipitation revealed by weather radar observations

F Marra, M Armon, E Morin - Hydrology and Earth System …, 2022 - hess.copernicus.org
The yearly exceedance probability of extreme precipitation of multiple durations is crucial for
infrastructure design, risk management, and policymaking. Local extremes emerge from the …

Strange storms: Rainfall extremes from the remnants of hurricane ida (2021) in the northeastern us

JA Smith, ML Baeck, Y Su, M Liu… - Water resources …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
On 1 September 2021, the remnants of Hurricane Ida transformed into a lethal variant of
tropical cyclone in which unprecedented short‐duration rainfall from clusters of supercells …