Global warming in the pipeline

JE Hansen, M Sato, L Simons… - Oxford Open Climate …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature change yields Charney
(fast-feedback) equilibrium climate sensitivity 1.2±0.3° C (2σ) per W/m2, which is 4.8° C±1.2° …

[HTML][HTML] Atmospheric CO2 during the Mid-Piacenzian Warm Period and the M2 glaciation

E De La Vega, TB Chalk, PA Wilson, RP Bysani… - Scientific Reports, 2020 - nature.com
The Piacenzian stage of the Pliocene (2.6 to 3.6 Ma) is the most recent past interval of
sustained global warmth with mean global temperatures markedly higher (by~ 2–3 C) than …

Late Miocene cooling coupled to carbon dioxide with Pleistocene-like climate sensitivity

RM Brown, TB Chalk, AJ Crocker, PA Wilson… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
Earth's climate cooled markedly during the late Miocene from 12 to 5 million years ago, with
far-reaching consequences for global ecosystems. However, the driving forces of these …

[HTML][HTML] Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (PlioMIP3)–Science Plan and Experimental Design

AM Haywood, JC Tindall, LE Burton… - Global and Planetary …, 2024 - Elsevier
Abstract The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) was initiated in 2008. Over
two phases PlioMIP has helped co-ordinate the experimental design and publication …

[HTML][HTML] Simulation of the mid-Pliocene Warm Period using HadGEM3: experimental design and results from model–model and model–data comparison

CJR Williams, AA Sellar, X Ren, AM Haywood… - Climate of the …, 2021 - cp.copernicus.org
Here we present the experimental design and results from a new mid-Pliocene simulation
using the latest version of the UK's physical climate model, HadGEM3-GC31-LL, conducted …

Green Sahara tipping points in transient climate model simulations of the Holocene

PO Hopcroft, PJ Valdes - Environmental Research Letters, 2022 - iopscience.iop.org
The'Greening'and subsequent desertification of the Sahara during the early to mid-Holocene
is a dramatic example of natural climate change. We analyse a suite of simulations with a …

Continuous sterane and phytane δ13C record reveals a substantial pCO2 decline since the mid-Miocene

CR Witkowski, AS von der Heydt, PJ Valdes… - Nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Constraining the relationship between temperature and atmospheric concentrations of
carbon dioxide (p CO2) is essential to model near-future climate. Here, we reconstruct p …

Influence of stationary waves on mid-Pliocene atmospheric rivers and hydroclimate

S Menemenlis, JM Lora, M Lofverstrom… - Global and Planetary …, 2021 - Elsevier
The mid-Pliocene warm period (~ 3.3–3 million years ago) sustained similar atmospheric
CO 2 concentrations to today, and is thus considered one of the best recent paleoclimate …

[HTML][HTML] The warm winter paradox in the Pliocene northern high latitudes

JC Tindall, AM Haywood, U Salzmann… - Climate of the …, 2022 - cp.copernicus.org
Reconciling palaeodata with model simulations of the Pliocene climate is essential for
understanding a world with atmospheric CO 2 concentration near 400 ppmv (parts per …

Fossil bivalves and the sclerochronological reawakening

DK Moss, LC Ivany, DS Jones - Paleobiology, 2021 - cambridge.org
The field of sclerochronology has long been known to paleobiologists. Yet, despite the
central role of growth rate, age, and body size in questions related to macroevolution and …