Explainable El Niño predictability from climate mode interactions

S Zhao, FF Jin, MF Stuecker, PR Thompson, JS Kug… - Nature, 2024 - nature.com
Abstract The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) provides most of the global seasonal
climate forecast skill,–, yet, quantifying the sources of skilful predictions is a long-standing …

Climate Driver Influences on Prediction of the Australian Fire Behaviour Index

R Taylor, AG Marshall, S Crimp, GJ Cary, S Harris - Atmosphere, 2024 - mdpi.com
Fire danger poses a pressing threat to ecosystems and societies worldwide. Adequate
preparation and forewarning can help reduce these threats, but these rely on accurate …

Impact of North Atlantic Tripole and Extratropical North Pacific Extreme SSTs on the 2023/24 El Niño

CC Hong, A Sullivan, CC Chang - Geophysical Research …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Observations revealed notable discrepancies in the 2023/24 El Niño compared to earlier
events, despite registering moderate Niño3. 4 index magnitudes. Essential indicators such …

Record breaking marine heatwave over the central North Pacific in 2021 summer: its formation associated with loss of Central Mode Water

G Nishihira, S Sugimoto - Journal of Physical Oceanography, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are prolonged extremely high sea surface temperature (SST)
events. In 2021 summer, an intense MHW occurred over the central North Pacific; the SST in …

Unprecedented cross-equatorial southerly wind anomalies during the 2020–2023 triple-dip La Niña: Impacts and mechanisms

S Zhang, H Fan, X Hu, S Lin - Atmospheric Research, 2024 - Elsevier
Abstract The 2020–2023 La Niña event, the third triple-dip occurrence since 1950, stands
out for its unique characteristics when compared to the preceding events in 1973–1976 and …

SMOS captures variations in SSS fronts during El Niño and La Niña

J Li, L Du - Environmental Research Communications, 2024 - iopscience.iop.org
The launch of the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) satellite has promoted research
on sea surface salinity (SSS) and salinity fronts (SF). The SF in the central Pacific Ocean is …

Recent global temperature surge amplified by record-low planetary albedo

HF Goessling, T Rackow, T Jung - arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.19986, 2024 - arxiv.org
In 2023, the global mean temperature soared to 1.48 K above the pre-industrial level,
surpassing the previous record by 0.17 K. Previous best-guess estimates of known drivers …