Representing model uncertainty in weather and climate prediction

TN Palmer, GJ Shutts, R Hagedorn… - Annu. Rev. Earth …, 2005 - annualreviews.org
▪ Abstract Weather and climate predictions are uncertain, because both forecast initial
conditions and the computational representation of the known equations of motion are …

Towards the probabilistic Earth‐system simulator: A vision for the future of climate and weather prediction

TN Palmer - Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
There is no more challenging problem in computational science than that of estimating, as
accurately as science and technology allows, the future evolution of Earth's climate; nor …

Could machine learning break the convection parameterization deadlock?

P Gentine, M Pritchard, S Rasp… - Geophysical …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Representing unresolved moist convection in coarse‐scale climate models remains one of
the main bottlenecks of current climate simulations. Many of the biases present with …

Development of a European multimodel ensemble system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER)

TN Palmer, A Alessandri, U Andersen… - Bulletin of the …, 2004 - journals.ametsoc.org
A multi-model ensemble-based system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction has been
developed in a joint European project known as DEMETER (Development of a European …

[HTML][HTML] A stochastic parameterization for deep convection based on equilibrium statistics

RS Plant, GC Craig - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2008 - journals.ametsoc.org
A Stochastic Parameterization for Deep Convection Based on Equilibrium Statistics in: Journal
of the Atmospheric Sciences Volume 65 Issue 1 (2008) Jump to Content Jump to Main …

A stochastic multicloud model for tropical convection

B Khouider, J Biello, AJ Majda - 2010 - projecteuclid.org
A stochastic model for representing the missing variability in global climate models due to
unresolved features of organized tropical convection is presented here. We use a Markov …

Toward a stochastic parameterization of ocean mesoscale eddies

PGLP Mana, L Zanna - Ocean Modelling, 2014 - Elsevier
A stochastic parameterization of ocean mesoscale eddies is constructed in order to account
for the fluctuations in subgrid transport and to represent upscale turbulent cascades. Eddy …

A review of multiscale analysis: examples from systems biology, materials engineering, and other fluid–surface interacting systems

DG Vlachos - Advances in Chemical Engineering, 2005 - Elsevier
Multiscale simulation is an emerging scientific field that spans many disciplines, including
physics, chemistry, mathematics, statistics, chemical engineering, mechanical engineering …

An applied mathematics perspective on stochastic modelling for climate

AJ Majda, C Franzke… - … Transactions of the …, 2008 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Systematic strategies from applied mathematics for stochastic modelling in climate are
reviewed here. One of the topics discussed is the stochastic modelling of mid-latitude low …

[HTML][HTML] Subgrid-scale parameterization with conditional Markov chains

D Crommelin… - Journal of the Atmospheric …, 2008 - journals.ametsoc.org
Subgrid-Scale Parameterization with Conditional Markov Chains in: Journal of the
Atmospheric Sciences Volume 65 Issue 8 (2008) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation …