NPCC4: Tail risk, climate drivers of extreme heat, and new methods for extreme event projections

L Ortiz, C Braneon, R Horton, D Bader… - Annals of the New …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract We summarize historic New York City (NYC) climate change trends and provide the
latest scientific analyses on projected future changes based on a range of global …

Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course

RM van Westen, M Kliphuis, HA Dijkstra - Science advances, 2024 - science.org
One of the most prominent climate tipping elements is the Atlantic meridional overturning
circulation (AMOC), which can potentially collapse because of the input of fresh water in the …

Global warming in the pipeline

JE Hansen, M Sato, L Simons… - Oxford Open Climate …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature change yields Charney
(fast-feedback) equilibrium climate sensitivity 1.2±0.3° C (2σ) per W/m2, which is 4.8° C±1.2° …

[HTML][HTML] Emergent methane mitigation and removal approaches: A review

I Mundra, A Lockley - Atmospheric Environment: X, 2024 - Elsevier
Early control of atmospheric methane is essential to achieving a 1.5° C warming pathway.
This paper considers a range of academic and gray literature reviews of methane control …

The 2023 state of the climate report: Entering uncharted territory

WJ Ripple, C Wolf, JW Gregg, J Rockström… - …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
Life on planet Earth is under siege. We are now in an uncharted territory. For several
decades, scientists have consistently warned of a future marked by extreme climatic …

[图书][B] Climate and society: Transforming the future

R Leichenko, K O'Brien - 2024 - books.google.com
This bold and passionate textbook has become a go-to introduction to current and emerging
thinking on the social dimensions of climate change, presenting key concepts and …

Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data

M Ben-Yami, A Morr, S Bathiany, N Boers - Science Advances, 2024 - science.org
One way to warn of forthcoming critical transitions in Earth system components is using
observations to detect declining system stability. It has also been suggested to extrapolate …

Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks

T Möller, AE Högner, CF Schleussner, S Bien… - Nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Under current emission trajectories, temporarily overshooting the Paris global warming limit
of 1.5° C is a distinct possibility. Permanently exceeding this limit would substantially …

Atmospheric methane: Comparison between methane's record in 2006–2022 and during glacial terminations

EG Nisbet, MR Manning… - Global …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Atmospheric methane's rapid growth from late 2006 is unprecedented in the observational
record. Assessment of atmospheric methane data attributes a large fraction of this …

Ubiquitous acceleration in Greenland Ice Sheet calving from 1985 to 2022

CA Greene, AS Gardner, M Wood, JK Cuzzone - Nature, 2024 - nature.com
Nearly every glacier in Greenland has thinned or retreated over the past few decades,,–,
leading to glacier acceleration, increased rates of sea-level rise and climate impacts around …