The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: delivering long-term projections to guide policy

SL Loo, E Howerton, L Contamin, CP Smith… - Epidemics, 2024 - Elsevier
Abstract Between December 2020 and April 2023, the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub
(SMH) generated operational multi-month projections of COVID-19 burden in the US to …

[HTML][HTML] Scenario Design for Infectious Disease Projections: Integrating Concepts from Decision Analysis and Experimental Design

MC Runge, K Shea, E Howerton, K Yan, H Hochheiser… - Epidemics, 2024 - Elsevier
Across many fields, scenario modeling has become an important tool for exploring long-term
projections and how they might depend on potential interventions and critical uncertainties …