Uncertainty analysis in multi‐sector systems: Considerations for risk analysis, projection, and planning for complex systems

V Srikrishnan, DC Lafferty, TE Wong… - Earth's …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Simulation models of multi‐sector systems are increasingly used to understand societal
resilience to climate and economic shocks and change. However, multi‐sector systems are …

Can temperature be used to inform changes to flood extremes with global warming?

C Wasko - … Transactions of the Royal Society A, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
As climate change alters flood risk, there is a need to project changes in flooding for water
resource management, infrastructure design and planning. The use of observed …

Derivation of nonstationary rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curves considering the impacts of climate change and urbanization

L Yan, D Lu, L Xiong, H Wang, Q Luan, C Jiang… - Urban Climate, 2023 - Elsevier
Urban infrastructure traditionally relies on stationary rainfall intensity-duration-frequency
(IDF) curves. However, this assumption is challenged by climate change and urbanization …

A weather‐regime‐based stochastic weather generator for climate vulnerability assessments of water systems in the western United States

S Steinschneider, P Ray, SH Rahat… - Water Resources …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Vulnerability‐based frameworks are increasingly used to better understand water system
performance under climate change. This work advances the use of stochastic weather …

Application of the non-stationary peak-over-threshold methods for deriving rainfall extremes from temperature projections

O Lee, I Sim, S Kim - Journal of Hydrology, 2020 - Elsevier
Concerns about climate change are amplifying interest in future rainfall extremes. However,
there are big differences between the statistics of rainfall extremes obtained using future …

On the weather types that shape the precipitation patterns across the US Midwest

W Zhang, G Villarini - Climate Dynamics, 2019 - Springer
The US Midwest is an area that has been plagued by heavy and persistent precipitation
leading to frequent flood events. The improved understanding of the types of weather …

Spatiotemporal characteristics of US floods: Current status and forecast under a future warmer climate

Z Li, S Gao, M Chen, JJ Gourley, Y Hong - Earth's Future, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Floods in the US exhibit strong spatiotemporal variability, mainly controlled by precipitation
types and catchment attributes. In a future warmer climate, it remains largely unclear how …

A non-stationary climate-informed weather generator for assessing future flood risks

VD Nguyen, S Vorogushyn, K Nissen… - Advances in …, 2024 - ascmo.copernicus.org
We present a novel non-stationary regional weather generator (nsRWG) based on an auto-
regressive process and marginal distributions conditioned on climate variables. We use …

Characterizing hydrologic vulnerability under nonstationary climate and antecedent conditions using a process-informed stochastic weather generator

SH Rahat, S Steinschneider, J Kucharski… - Journal of Water …, 2022 - ascelibrary.org
The evaluation of water systems based on historical statistics is problematic when shifts in
the hydrologic system occur due to a changing climate. An explicit link to thermodynamic …

Stochastic generation of future hydroclimate using temperature as a climate change covariate

AS Kiem, G Kuczera, P Kozarovski… - Water Resources …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
It is now standard practice for water supply agencies to use stochastic models to generate
synthetic hydroclimate sequences that preserve the key statistics contained in the …