We review 74 experiments with no, low, or high performance-based financial incentives. The
modal result has no effect on mean performance (though variance is usually reduced by …

Two empirical judgment phenomena appear to contradict each other. In the revision-of-
opinion literature, subjective probability (SP) judgments have been analyzed as a function of …

Much of our understanding of human thinking is based on probabilistic models. This
innovative book by Jerome R. Busemeyer and Peter D. Bruza argues that, actually, the …

Statistical aggregation is often used to combine multiple opinions within a group. Such
aggregates outperform individuals, including experts, in various prediction and estimation …

This valuable book examines the complex psychological processes involved in answering
different types of survey questions. Drawing on both classic and modern research from …

Construct definition, Object classification, Attribute classification, Rater identification, Scale
formation, and Enumeration and reporting (C-OAR-SE) is proposed as a new procedure for …

This two-part study begins with a rhetorical analysis of the genre of earnings press releases.
Then, a quantitative analysis uses capital markets data to assess the investor impact of tone …

Abstract [Correction Notice: An erratum for this article was reported in Vol 118 (1) of
Psychological Review (see record 2011-00732-004). The name of the philosopher Charles …

This article presents a new theory of subjective probability according to which different
descriptions of the same event can give rise to different judgments. The experimental …

I review research relevant to predicting how the behavior of various participants in the
financial-reporting process is affected by principles-based and rules-based standards. I …