This paper reviews the scenario planning literature looking for answers for the following
questions: How do qualitative and quantitative scenario methods differ and what are the …

Adaptation to climate change is about planning for the future while responding to current
pressures and challenges. Adaptation scientists are increasingly using future visioning …

Abstract Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) modelling is highly suitable for the demands of future
studies: it uses a mix of qualitative and quantitative approaches, it enables the inclusion of …

Tourism destinations are difficult to manage because of the complex relationships of their
diverse public and private stakeholders. At the same time, strategic marketing efforts are …

Long-term investments challenge decision makers to look into the far future. Existing future
studies often build upon a rational idea of decision making that does not help to explain why …

Artificial general intelligence (AGI) progression metrics indicate AGI will occur within
decades. No proof exists that AGI will benefit humans and not harm or eliminate humans. A …

Idiographic causal maps are extensively employed in Operational Research to support
problem structuring and complex decision making processes. They model means-end or …

Planning for the future involves making sense of the present and examining possible
changes in key factors that can influence the future. Actors rely upon mental models of the …

El propósito de este artículo es reflexionar sobre cómo son seleccionados los diferentes
métodos para la construcción de los escenarios de futuro; de acuerdo con la naturaleza de …

This article presents the results of a future study of the food sector. Two scenarios have been
developed using a combination of: 1) a summary of the relevant scientific knowledge, 2) …