Tracking of COVID-19: A new real-time estimation using the Kalman filter
F Arroyo-Marioli, F Bullano, S Kucinskas… - PloS one, 2021 - journals.plos.org
We develop a new method for estimating the effective reproduction number of an infectious
disease (R) and apply it to track the dynamics of COVID-19. The method is based on the fact …
disease (R) and apply it to track the dynamics of COVID-19. The method is based on the fact …
[HTML][HTML] The stationarity bias in research on the environmental determinants of health
MP Kwan - Health & Place, 2021 - Elsevier
An implicit assumption often made in research on the environmental determinants of health
is that the relationships between environmental factors and their health effects are stable …
is that the relationships between environmental factors and their health effects are stable …
Ecological dynamics: integrating empirical, statistical, and analytical methods
Understanding ecological processes and predicting long-term dynamics are ongoing
challenges in ecology. To address these challenges, we suggest an approach combining …
challenges in ecology. To address these challenges, we suggest an approach combining …
Assessing the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Switzerland
Following the rapid dissemination of COVID-19 cases in Switzerland, large-scale non-
pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) were implemented by the cantons and the federal …
pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) were implemented by the cantons and the federal …
A new estimation method for COVID-19 time-varying reproduction number using active cases
We propose a new method to estimate the time-varying effective (or instantaneous)
reproduction number of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). The method is based on …
reproduction number of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). The method is based on …
Improving dengue forecasts by using geospatial big data analysis in google earth engine and the historical dengue information-aided long short term memory …
Simple Summary Forecasting dengue cases often face challenges from (1) time-
effectiveness due to time-consuming satellite data downloading and processing,(2) weak …
effectiveness due to time-consuming satellite data downloading and processing,(2) weak …
Spatially explicit effective reproduction numbers from incidence and mobility data
Current methods for near real-time estimation of effective reproduction numbers from
surveillance data overlook mobility fluxes of infectors and susceptible individuals within a …
surveillance data overlook mobility fluxes of infectors and susceptible individuals within a …
Short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 pandemic using Google Trends data: Evidence from 158 countries
D Fantazzini - Applied Econometrics, Forthcoming, 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
Abstract The ability of Google Trends data to forecast the number of new daily cases and
deaths of COVID-19 is examined using a dataset of 158 countries. The analysis includes the …
deaths of COVID-19 is examined using a dataset of 158 countries. The analysis includes the …
Real-time analysis of the diphtheria outbreak in forcibly displaced Myanmar nationals in Bangladesh
Abstract Background Between August and December 2017, more than 625,000 Rohingya
from Myanmar fled into Bangladesh, settling in informal makeshift camps in Cox's Bazar …
from Myanmar fled into Bangladesh, settling in informal makeshift camps in Cox's Bazar …
Dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ireland under mitigation
Abstract Background In Ireland and across the European Union the COVID-19 epidemic
waves, driven mainly by the emergence of new variants of the SARS-CoV-2 have continued …
waves, driven mainly by the emergence of new variants of the SARS-CoV-2 have continued …