Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework
Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global
environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change …
environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change …
Radical changes are needed for transformations to a good Anthropocene
The scale, pace, and intensity of human activity on the planet demands radical departures
from the status quo to remain within planetary boundaries and achieve sustainability. The …
from the status quo to remain within planetary boundaries and achieve sustainability. The …
Current and projected regional economic impacts of heatwaves in Europe
D García-León, A Casanueva, G Standardi… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
Extreme heat undermines the working capacity of individuals, resulting in lower productivity,
and thus economic output. Here we analyse the present and future economic damages due …
and thus economic output. Here we analyse the present and future economic damages due …
Europe (Chapter 13)
Our current 1.1° C warmer world is already affecting natural and human systems in Europe
(very high confidence1). Since AR5, there has been a substantial increase in detected or …
(very high confidence1). Since AR5, there has been a substantial increase in detected or …
[HTML][HTML] Mapping the spatial and temporal variability of flood hazard affected by climate and land-use changes in the future
The predicts current and future flood risk in the Kalvan watershed of northwestern Markazi
Province, Iran. To do this, 512 flood and non-flood locations were identified and mapped …
Province, Iran. To do this, 512 flood and non-flood locations were identified and mapped …
Developing multiscale and integrative nature–people scenarios using the Nature Futures Framework
LM Pereira, KK Davies, E den Belder… - People and …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Scientists have repeatedly argued that transformative, multiscale global scenarios are
needed as tools in the quest to halt the decline of biodiversity and achieve sustainability …
needed as tools in the quest to halt the decline of biodiversity and achieve sustainability …
[HTML][HTML] Urbanization: an increasing source of multiple pollutants to rivers in the 21st century
Most of the global population will live in urban areas in the 21st century. We study impacts of
urbanization on future river pollution taking a multi-pollutant approach. We quantify …
urbanization on future river pollution taking a multi-pollutant approach. We quantify …
[HTML][HTML] Shared socio-economic pathways for European agriculture and food systems: the Eur-Agri-SSPs
Scenarios describe plausible and internally consistent views of the future. They can be used
by scientists, policymakers and entrepreneurs to explore the challenges of global …
by scientists, policymakers and entrepreneurs to explore the challenges of global …
Scenario processes for socio-environmental systems analysis of futures: a review of recent efforts and a salient research agenda for supporting decision making
This paper reviews the latest research on scenarios including the processes and products
for socio-environmental systems (SES) analysis, modeling and decision making. A group of …
for socio-environmental systems (SES) analysis, modeling and decision making. A group of …
[HTML][HTML] Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context
The climate change research community's shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) are a set
of alternative global development scenarios focused on mitigation of and adaptation to …
of alternative global development scenarios focused on mitigation of and adaptation to …