Models for the long-term variations of solar activity

BB Karak - Living Reviews in Solar Physics, 2023 - Springer
One obvious feature of the solar cycle is its variation from one cycle to another. In this article,
we review the dynamo models for the long-term variations of the solar cycle. By long-term …

Progress in solar cycle predictions: Sunspot cycles 24–25 in perspective: Invited review

D Nandy - Solar Physics, 2021 - Springer
The dynamic activity of the Sun—sustained by a magnetohydrodynamic dynamo mechanism
working in its interior—modulates the electromagnetic, particulate, and radiative …

Long-term modulation of solar cycles

A Biswas, BB Karak, I Usoskin, E Weisshaar - Space Science Reviews, 2023 - Springer
Solar activity has a cyclic nature with the≈ 11-year Schwabe cycle dominating its variability
on the interannual timescale. However, solar cycles are significantly modulated in length …

Prediction of the strength and timing of sunspot cycle 25 reveal decadal-scale space environmental conditions

P Bhowmik, D Nandy - Nature communications, 2018 - nature.com
The Sun's activity cycle governs the radiation, particle and magnetic flux in the heliosphere
creating hazardous space weather. Decadal-scale variations define space climate and force …

Physical models for solar cycle predictions

P Bhowmik, J Jiang, L Upton, A Lemerle… - Space Science …, 2023 - Springer
The dynamic activity of stars such as the Sun influences (exo) planetary space environments
through modulation of stellar radiation, plasma wind, particle and magnetic fluxes. Energetic …

Observationally guided models for the solar dynamo and the role of the surface field

RH Cameron, M Schüssler - Space Science Reviews, 2023 - Springer
Theoretical models for the solar dynamo range from simple low-dimensional “toy models” to
complex 3D-MHD simulations. Here we mainly discuss appproaches that are motivated and …

Dynamo models of the solar cycle

P Charbonneau - Living Reviews in Solar Physics, 2020 - Springer
This paper reviews recent advances and current debates in modeling the solar cycle as a
hydromagnetic dynamo process. Emphasis is placed on (relatively) simple dynamo models …

Solar cycle prediction

K Petrovay - Living Reviews in Solar Physics, 2020 - Springer
A review of solar cycle prediction methods and their performance is given, including early
forecasts for Cycle 25. The review focuses on those aspects of the solar cycle prediction …

An updated solar cycle 25 prediction with AFT: The modern minimum

LA Upton, DH Hathaway - Geophysical Research Letters, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Over the last decade there has been mounting evidence that the strength of the Sun's polar
magnetic fields during a solar cycle minimum is the best predictor of the amplitude of the …

Exploring the reliability of polar field rise rate as a precursor for an early prediction of solar cycle

A Biswas, BB Karak, P Kumar - Monthly Notices of the Royal …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
The prediction of the strength of an upcoming solar cycle has been a long-standing
challenge in the field of solar physics. The inherent stochastic nature of the underlying solar …