Small failure probability: principles, progress and perspectives

I Lee, U Lee, P Ramu, D Yadav, G Bayrak… - Structural and …, 2022 - Springer
Abstract Design of structural and multidisciplinary systems under uncertainties requires
estimation of their reliability or equivalently the probability of failure under the given …

An improved adaptive kriging-based importance technique for sampling multiple failure regions of low probability

F Cadini, F Santos, E Zio - Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2014 - Elsevier
The estimation of system failure probabilities may be a difficult task when the values
involved are very small, so that sampling-based Monte Carlo methods may become …

RBF-GA: An adaptive radial basis function metamodeling with genetic algorithm for structural reliability analysis

Z Jing, J Chen, X Li - Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2019 - Elsevier
Owing to its time-consuming computation of complex structural responses, structural
reliability analysis is still one of the challenging tasks. In this work, based on the FORM, the …

Monte Carlo simulation using support vector machine and kernel density for failure probability estimation

S Lee - Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2021 - Elsevier
Monte Carlo simulation requires a large number of sampling points. In a Monte Carlo
simulation, the performance function is calculated for all sampling points to determine the …

Effect of sleeper interventions on railway track performance

T Abadi, LL Pen, A Zervos, W Powrie - Journal of Geotechnical and …, 2019 - ascelibrary.org
The sleeper/ballast interface is an essential stage in the transfer of train loads from a railway
track structure into the ground. Generally, only a small number of ballast grains support the …

Subset simulation-based reliability analysis of the corroding natural gas pipeline

W Yu, W Huang, K Wen, J Zhang, H Liu, K Wang… - Reliability Engineering & …, 2021 - Elsevier
In this study, a subset simulation-based methodology is developed to evaluate the time-
dependent reliability of the corroding pipeline with multiple correlated corrosion defects. Two …

Scenario analysis for the safety assessment of nuclear waste repositories: A critical review

E Tosoni, A Salo, E Zio - Risk Analysis, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
A major challenge in scenario analysis for the safety assessment of nuclear waste
repositories pertains to the comprehensiveness of the set of scenarios selected for …

[HTML][HTML] An Adaptive Metamodel-Based Subset Importance Sampling approach for the assessment of the functional failure probability of a thermal-hydraulic passive …

N Pedroni, E Zio - Applied Mathematical Modelling, 2017 - Elsevier
Abstract An Adaptive Metamodel-Based Subset Importance Sampling (AM-SIS) approach,
previously developed by the authors, is here employed to assess the (small) functional …

Extracting rare failure events in composite system reliability evaluation via subset simulation

B Hua, Z Bie, SK Au, W Li… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2014 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
This paper proposes an efficient method for evaluating composite system reliability via
subset simulation. The central idea is that a small failure probability can be expressed as a …

Rare event simulation

JL Beck, KM Zuev - arXiv preprint arXiv:1508.05047, 2015 - arxiv.org
Rare events are events that are expected to occur infrequently, or more technically, those
that have low probabilities (say, order of $10^{-3} $ or less) of occurring according to a …