Changing El Niño–Southern oscillation in a warming climate
Originating in the equatorial Pacific, the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has highly
consequential global impacts, motivating the need to understand its responses to …
consequential global impacts, motivating the need to understand its responses to …
The DOE E3SM Model Version 2: Overview of the physical model and initial model evaluation
This work documents version two of the Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth
System Model (E3SM). E3SMv2 is a significant evolution from its predecessor E3SMv1 …
System Model (E3SM). E3SMv2 is a significant evolution from its predecessor E3SMv1 …
Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
Evidence of anthropogenic impacts on global drought frequency, duration, and intensity
Most climate change detection and attribution studies have focused on mean or extreme
temperature or precipitation, neglecting to explore long-term changes in drought …
temperature or precipitation, neglecting to explore long-term changes in drought …
Human Influence on the Climate System (Chapter 3)
The AR5 concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear, evident from
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …
Evaluating climate models with the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO metrics package
Abstract El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant mode of interannual climate
variability on the planet, with far-reaching global impacts. It is therefore key to evaluate …
variability on the planet, with far-reaching global impacts. It is therefore key to evaluate …
Large-scale features and evaluation of the PMIP4-CMIP6 midHolocene simulations
The mid-Holocene (6000 years ago) is a standard experiment for the evaluation of the
simulated response of global climate models using paleoclimate reconstructions. The latest …
simulated response of global climate models using paleoclimate reconstructions. The latest …
Uncertainty of ENSO-amplitude projections in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models
There is a long-standing debate on how the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) amplitude
may change during the twenty-first century in response to global warming. Here we identify …
may change during the twenty-first century in response to global warming. Here we identify …
Selecting CMIP6 GCMs for CORDEX dynamical downscaling: Model performance, independence, and climate change signals
Global climate models (GCMs) are essential for investigating climate change, but their
coarse scale limits their efficacy for climate adaptation planning at the regional scales where …
coarse scale limits their efficacy for climate adaptation planning at the regional scales where …
Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern
Abstract The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) results from the instability of and also
modulates the strength of the tropical-Pacific cold tongue. While climate models reproduce …
modulates the strength of the tropical-Pacific cold tongue. While climate models reproduce …