It is now well established that the Arctic is warming at a faster rate than the global average.
This warming, which has been accompanied by a dramatic decline in sea ice, has been …

Disentangling the effects of internal variability and anthropogenic forcing on regional climate
trends remains a key challenge with far-reaching implications. Due to its largely …

The response of the Euro‐Atlantic wintertime circulation to climate change is deeply
uncertain. The Atlantic jet is caught in a “tug‐of‐war” between rapid warming trends in both …

Previous studies have found inconsistent responses of the North Atlantic jet to Arctic sea‐ice
loss. The response of wintertime atmospheric circulation and surface climate over the North …

The influence of Arctic sea ice concentration (SIC) on the subseasonal prediction of the
North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) event is investigated by utilizing the Community …

The role of internal variability in generating an apparent link between autumn Barents‐Kara
sea (BKS) ice and the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) has been intensely debated. In …

Stochastic parametrisation techniques have been used by operational weather centres for
decades to produce ensemble forecasts and to represent uncertainties in the forecast …

The causality of the link between Autumn Barents‐Kara (BK) sea ice and the winter North
Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is uncertain, given teleconnections stemming from the tropics may …