Evaluating ensemble predictions of South Asian monsoon low pressure system genesis

DL Suhas, WR Boos - Weather and Forecasting, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Synoptic-scale vortices known as monsoon low pressure systems (LPSs) frequently produce
intense precipitation and hydrological disasters in South Asia, so accurately forecasting LPS …

Genesis and track prediction of pre-monsoon cyclonic storms over North Indian Ocean in a multi-model ensemble framework

S Saranya Ganesh, S Abhilash, AK Sahai, S Joseph… - Natural Hazards, 2019 - Springer
An attempt has been made in this study to evaluate the performance of a multi-model
ensemble prediction system (MMEPS) in the extended range prediction of genesis and track …

Examining the Predictability of Tropical Cyclogenesis over the East Sea of Vietnam through the Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation System

DNQ Hoa, TT Tien, NY Nhu, TL Dao - Atmosphere, 2023 - mdpi.com
In this study, we conducted experiments to assess the forecasting capabilities for tropical
cyclone (TC) genesis over the east sea of Vietnam using the ensemble-based data …

The forecast skill of tropical cyclone genesis in two global ensembles

X Zhang, J Fang, Z Yu - Weather and Forecasting, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Tropical cyclone (TC) genesis forecasts during 2018–20 from two operational global
ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) are evaluated over three basins in this study. The two …

Examining the Predictability of Tropical Cyclogenesis through the Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation System

DNQ Hoa, TT Tien, NY Nhu, TL Dao - 2023 - preprints.org
In this study, we conducted experiments to assess the forecasting capabilities for the tropical
cyclone (TC) genesis over the South China Sea using the ensemble-based data …

[PDF][PDF] Development of an ensemble dynamic-probabilistic prediction model for tropical storm genesis in the Vietnam East Sea using the Logistic Regression approach

DNQ Hoa, TT Tien - vnjhm.vn
In this study, a logistic regression model is developed to forecast tropical storm (TS) genesis
in the Vietnam East Sea from 2012 to 2019. The model incorporates seven potential …

[PDF][PDF] S. Saranya Ganesh, S. Abhilash, AK Sahai, S. Joseph, R. Chattopadhyay

R Mandal, A Dey, R Phani - researchgate.net
An attempt has been made in this study to evaluate the performance of a multi-model
ensemble prediction system (MMEPS) in the extended range prediction of genesis and track …