Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
The teleconnection of El Niño Southern Oscillation to the stratosphere
DIV Domeisen, CI Garfinkel… - Reviews of Geophysics, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
El Niño and La Niña events in the tropical Pacific have significant and disrupting impacts on
the global atmospheric and oceanic circulation. El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …
the global atmospheric and oceanic circulation. El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …
Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
[HTML][HTML] SEAS5: the new ECMWF seasonal forecast system
In this paper we describe SEAS5, ECMWF's fifth generation seasonal forecast system, which
became operational in November 2017. Compared to its predecessor, System 4, SEAS5 is a …
became operational in November 2017. Compared to its predecessor, System 4, SEAS5 is a …
A signal-to-noise paradox in climate science
We review the growing evidence for a widespread inconsistency between the low strength of
predictable signals in climate models and the relatively high level of agreement they exhibit …
predictable signals in climate models and the relatively high level of agreement they exhibit …
Stratospheric influence on tropospheric jet streams, storm tracks and surface weather
A powerful influence on the weather that we experience on the ground can be exerted by the
stratosphere. This highly stratified layer of Earth's atmosphere is found 10 to 50 kilometres …
stratosphere. This highly stratified layer of Earth's atmosphere is found 10 to 50 kilometres …
The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction: 2. Predictability arising from stratosphere‐troposphere coupling
DIV Domeisen, AH Butler… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The stratosphere can have a significant impact on winter surface weather on subseasonal to
seasonal (S2S) timescales. This study evaluates the ability of current operational S2S …
seasonal (S2S) timescales. This study evaluates the ability of current operational S2S …
Impacts, processes and projections of the quasi-biennial oscillation
In the tropical stratosphere, deep layers of eastward and westward winds encircle the globe
and descend regularly from the upper stratosphere to the tropical tropopause. With a …
and descend regularly from the upper stratosphere to the tropical tropopause. With a …
[HTML][HTML] Stratospheric control of the Madden–Julian oscillation
Stratospheric Control of the Madden–Julian Oscillation in: Journal of Climate Volume 30
Issue 6 (2017) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo …
Issue 6 (2017) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo …
An unexpected disruption of the atmospheric quasi-biennial oscillation
One of the most repeatable phenomena seen in the atmosphere, the quasi-biennial
oscillation (QBO) between prevailing eastward and westward wind jets in the equatorial …
oscillation (QBO) between prevailing eastward and westward wind jets in the equatorial …