Do commodity price shocks cause armed conflict? A meta-analysis of natural experiments

G Blair, D Christensen, A Rudkin - American Political Science …, 2021 - cambridge.org
Scholars of the resource curse argue that reliance on primary commodities destabilizes
governments: price fluctuations generate windfalls or periods of austerity that provoke or …

Making a NARCO: Childhood Exposure to Illegal Labor Markets and Criminal Life Paths

MM Sviatschi - Econometrica, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
This paper provides evidence that exposure to illegal labor markets during childhood leads
to the formation of industry‐specific human capital at an early age, putting children on a …

China and the World Bank—How contrasting development approaches affect the stability of African states

K Gehring, LC Kaplan, MHL Wong - Journal of Development Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
China's development model challenges the approaches of traditional donors like the World
Bank (WB). While some see this mostly as a chance, Chinese aid specifically and aid in …

[PDF][PDF] Mexican cartel wars: Fighting for the US opioid market

F Sobrino - URL: https://www. fersobrino. com/files/DraftPaper. pdf, 2019 - read-me.org
The number of major Drug Trafficking Organizations (known as cartels) in Mexico increased
from four to nine over the last two decades. This was accompanied by an increase in drug …

Local conflict intensity and public perceptions of the police: Evidence from Afghanistan

A Deglow, R Sundberg - The journal of politics, 2021 - journals.uchicago.edu
What are the effects of internal armed conflict on public perceptions of the police? We
explore this research question in the context of Afghanistan and argue that local conflict …

Pains, guns and moves: The effect of the US opioid epidemic on Mexican migration

G Daniele, M Le Moglie, F Masera - Journal of Development Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
In this paper, we study how a positive economic shock to an illicit industry might foster
migration. In 2010, a series of reforms to the US health care system resulted in a shift in …

The brides of Boko Haram: Economic shocks, marriage practices, and insurgency in Nigeria

JM Rexer - The Economic Journal, 2022 - academic.oup.com
Marriage markets in rural Nigeria are characterised by bride price and polygamy. These
customs may diminish marriage prospects for young men, causing them to join militant …

Rebel primary commodity markets, price shocks, and supplier victimization

CL Estancona - International Studies Quarterly, 2021 - academic.oup.com
Rebel organizations often benefit from the sale of primary commodities. However, producing
these commodities may require labor from noncombatants. Rebels provide security and …

[HTML][HTML] Armed groups: Competition and political violence

M Gassebner, P Schaudt, MHL Wong - Journal of Development Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
We show that the proliferation of armed groups increases the amount of organized political
violence. The natural death of a tribal leader provides quasi-experimental variation in the …

[PDF][PDF] Terrorism, education, and the role of perceptions: Evidence from al-Shabaab attacks in Kenya

M Alfano, JS Görlach - 2019 - academia.edu
This paper investigates how terrorism alters human capital investment through perceived
uncertainty. Using various estimators, we identify a causal negative effect of terrorism on …