Combining probability distributions: A critique and an annotated bibliography

C Genest, JV Zidek - Statistical Science, 1986 - JSTOR
This paper addresses the problem of aggregating a number of expert opinions which have
been expressed in some numerical form in order to reflect individual uncertainty vis-a-vis a …

[图书][B] Choosing for changing selves

R Pettigrew - 2019 - books.google.com
What we value, like, endorse, want, and prefer changes over the course of our lives,
sometimes as a result of decisions we make—such as when we choose to become a parent …

Probabilistic opinion pooling

F Dietrich, C List - 2016 - academic.oup.com
Suppose several individuals (eg, experts on a panel) each assign probabilities to some
events. How can these individual probability assignments be aggregated into a single …

Probability aggregation methods in geoscience

D Allard, A Comunian, P Renard - Mathematical Geosciences, 2012 - Springer
The need for combining different sources of information in a probabilistic framework is a
frequent task in earth sciences. This is a need that can be seen when modeling a reservoir …

Characterization of externally Bayesian pooling operators

C Genest, KJ McConway, MJ Schervish - The Annals of Statistics, 1986 - JSTOR
When a panel of experts is asked to provide some advice in the form of a group probability
distribution, the question arises as to whether they should synthesize their opinions before …

What is the “equal weight view”?

D Jehle, B Fitelson - Episteme, 2009 - cambridge.org
In this paper, we investigate various possible (Bayesian) precisifications of the (somewhat
vague) statements of “the equal weight view”(EWV) that have appeared in the recent …

Aggregating disparate estimates of chance

D Osherson, MY Vardi - Games and Economic Behavior, 2006 - Elsevier
We consider a panel of experts asked to assign probabilities to events, both logically simple
and complex. The events evaluated by different experts are based on overlapping sets of …

6. On the Accuracy of Group

R Pettigrew - Oxford Studies in Epistemology Volume 6, 2019 - books.google.com
We often ask for the opinion of a group of individuals. How strongly does the scientific
community believe that the rate at which sea levels are rising increased over the last 200 …

Judgment aggregation

F Cariani - Philosophy compass, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
Judgment aggregation studies how collective opinions arise from the aggregation of
individual ones. This article surveys a variety of aggregation rules (possible ways of …

Pooling operators with the marginalization property

C Genest - Canadian Journal of Statistics, 1984 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we consider the problem of combining a number of opinions which have been
expressed as probability measures P1,…, Pn, over some space. It is shown that a pooling …