Central Bank Independence: Views from History and Machine Learning

N Dincer, B Eichengreen… - Annual Review of …, 2024 - annualreviews.org
We assemble an almost complete set of central bank statutes since 1800 to assess the legal
independence of central banking institutions. We use these to extend existing indices of …

[PDF][PDF] Exchange rate models are better than you think, and why they didn't work in the old days

C Engel, SPY Wu - NBER Working Paper, 2024 - aeaweb.org
Empirical exchange-rate models fit very well for the US dollar in the 21st century. A
“standard” model that includes real interest rates and a measure of expected inflation for the …

Estimating the effects of political pressure on the fed: a narrative approach with new data

T Drechsel - 2024 - nber.org
This paper combines new data and a narrative approach to identify shocks to political
pressure on the Federal Reserve. From archival records, I build a data set of personal …

Globalization and fiscal policy after financial crises

PK Salamaliki - European Journal of Political Economy, 2024 - Elsevier
Has globalization affected the use of fiscal policy as a macroeconomic stabilization tool in
response to financial crises? We study this question in an empirical model using different …

International Spillovers of US Fiscal Challenges

J Aizenman, W Eldén, Y Jinjarak, GS Uddin, F Widholm - 2024 - nber.org
Expansionary fiscal policies have increased significantly following the subprime crisis in
2007 and the COVID-19 crisis, leading to fiscal dominance concerns, where a growing …

[HTML][HTML] The gender factor in monetary policy: An event-study design

D Favaro, A Giraldo, A Paggiaro - Economic Modelling, 2024 - Elsevier
This article assesses whether central bankers' monetary policy preferences differ by gender.
Based on a monetary policy rule in which the inflation rate is a function of the output gap, we …

Empowering women in central banking

A Kern, B Reinsberg, D Romelli - Journal of European Public Policy, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
When are women appointed to the board of central banks? While progressive societal
gender norms may facilitate women's ascension to leadership positions, recent research …

[HTML][HTML] Hayekian Hurdles: Challenges to Cryptocurrency as a Viable Basis for a New Monetary Order

LP Freitas, J Cerdeira, D Lourenço - Economies, 2025 - mdpi.com
The rise of cryptocurrencies over the past decade has promised to challenge the dominance
of fiat money systems and reshape monetary policy. However, recent developments …

Long Run Inflation: Persistence and Central Bank I ndependence

A Athanasopoulos, D Masciandaro, D Romelli - 2025 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper provides novel evidence of the long-run effects of central bank independence on
inflation. We show that improvements in central bank independence have a much larger …

New Wine in Old Bottles: Unintended Financial Dominance and Central Banking Myopia

D Masciandaro, D Romelli, R Russo - BAFFI Centre Research …, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
Using a political economy approach, this article offers a positive analysis of the relationships
between macroeconomic fundamentals, unintended financial dominance, and central …