The nexus between public debt and the government spending multiplier: fiscal adjustments matter

Y Iwata, H IIboshi - Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This paper studies the evolution of government spending multipliers in the post‐war USA
using a time‐varying parameter VAR model. We achieve identification by imposing sign and …

Fiscal policy reactions and impact over the labor income distribution

J Murray - Economic Analysis and Policy, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the implications of fiscal policy for labor income inequality through
two causal channels. First, I estimate how fiscal policy reacts to negative income shocks …

Estimating Fiscal Multipliers by Combining Statistical Identification with Potentially Endogenous Proxies

SA Keweloh, M Klein, J Prüser - arXiv preprint arXiv:2302.13066, 2023 - arxiv.org
Different proxy variables used in fiscal policy SVARs lead to contradicting conclusions
regarding the size of fiscal multipliers. We show that the conflicting results are due to …

Identification of fiscal SVAR-IVs in small open economies

H Keränen, S Lähdemäki - arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.14382, 2024 - arxiv.org
We propose a novel instrumental variable to identify fiscal shocks in small open economies.
Under the assumptions that unexpected changes in trading partners correlate with output of …

Testing for Strong Exogeneity in Proxy-Vars

M Bruns, S Keweloh - Available at SSRN 4674721, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
Proxy variables have gained widespread prominence as indispensabletools for identifying
structural VAR models. Analogous to instrumental variables, proxies need to be exogenous …

Revisiting the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy shocks

F Doko Tchatoka, Q Haque - Economic Record, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
This study re‐evaluates the macroeconomic impact of monetary policy shocks in the United
States using the proxy‐SVAR approach of Gertler and Karadi (American Economic Journal …

Proxy-identification of a structural MGARCH model for asset returns

MR Fengler, J Polivka - Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
We extend the multivariate GARCH (MGARCH) specification for volatility modeling by
developing a structural MGARCH model that targets the identification of shocks and volatility …

The nexus between public debt and the government spending multiplier: fiscal adjustments matter

H Iiboshi, Y Iwata - 2023 - mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de
This paper studies the evolution of government spending multipliers in the post-war US
using a time-varying parameter VAR model. We achieve identification by imposing sign and …

Regional Heterogeneity of Government Expenditure Multipliers in Poland

P Krajewski, K Piłat - … Barometer. Analyses & …, 2024 - czaz.akademiazamojska.edu.pl
The study analyzes the regional heterogeneity of the impact of government expenditure on
Polish voivodships. The aim of the paper is to estimate regional fiscal multipliers in Poland …

US fiscal policy shocks: Proxy‐SVAR overidentification via GMM

AW Gregory, J McNeil, GW Smith - Journal of Applied …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Using external instruments, one can recover the effects of individual shocks without fully
identifying a vector autoregression (VAR). We show that fully or almost fully instrumenting a …