Heat waves: Physical understanding and scientific challenges

D Barriopedro, R García‐Herrera… - Reviews of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Heat waves (HWs) can cause large socioeconomic and environmental impacts. The
observed increases in their frequency, intensity and duration are projected to continue with …

Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales

GA Meehl, JH Richter, H Teng, A Capotondi… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …

[HTML][HTML] Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions

CJ White, DIV Domeisen, N Acharya… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
The subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictive time scale, encompassing lead times ranging
from 2 weeks to a season, is at the frontier of forecasting science. Forecasts on this time …

Subseasonal forecasts of opportunity identified by an explainable neural network

KJ Mayer, EA Barnes - Geophysical Research Letters, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Midlatitude prediction on subseasonal timescales is difficult due to the chaotic nature of the
atmosphere and often requires the identification of favorable atmospheric conditions that …

Deep learning for bias correction of MJO prediction

H Kim, YG Ham, YS Joo, SW Son - Nature Communications, 2021 - nature.com
Producing accurate weather prediction beyond two weeks is an urgent challenge due to its
ever-increasing socioeconomic value. The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), a planetary …

Year‐round sub‐seasonal forecast skill for Atlantic–European weather regimes

D Büeler, L Ferranti, L Magnusson… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Weather regime forecasts are a prominent use case of sub‐seasonal prediction in the
midlatitudes. A systematic evaluation and understanding of year‐round sub‐seasonal …

Reconstruction of GRACE total water storage through automated machine learning

AY Sun, BR Scanlon, H Save… - Water Resources …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite mission and its
follow‐on, GRACE‐FO, have provided unprecedented opportunities to quantify the impact of …

Increasing spatiotemporal proximity of heat and precipitation extremes in a warming world quantified by a large model ensemble

C Raymond, L Suarez-Gutierrez… - Environmental …, 2022 - iopscience.iop.org
Increases in climate hazards and their impacts mark one of the major challenges of climate
change. Situations in which hazards occur close enough to one another to result in amplified …

Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction

WJ Merryfield, J Baehr, L Batté… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Weather and climate variations on subseasonal to decadal time scales can have enormous
social, economic, and environmental impacts, making skillful predictions on these time …

Improved decadal predictions of North Atlantic subpolar gyre SST in CMIP6

LF Borchert, MB Menary, D Swingedouw… - Geophysical …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Due to its wide‐ranging impacts, predicting decadal variations of sea surface temperature
(SST) in the subpolar North Atlantic remains a key goal of climate science. Here, we …