Drivers and impacts of Eastern African rainfall variability

PI Palmer, CM Wainwright, B Dong… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Eastern Africa exhibits bimodal rainfall consisting of long rains (March–May) and short rains
(October–December), changes in which have profound socioeconomic and environmental …

Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course

RM van Westen, M Kliphuis, HA Dijkstra - Science advances, 2024 - science.org
One of the most prominent climate tipping elements is the Atlantic meridional overturning
circulation (AMOC), which can potentially collapse because of the input of fresh water in the …

Viral respiratory infections in a rapidly changing climate: the need to prepare for the next pandemic

Y He, WJ Liu, N Jia, S Richardson, C Huang - EBioMedicine, 2023 - thelancet.com
Viral respiratory infections (VRIs) cause seasonal epidemics and pandemics, with their
transmission influenced by climate conditions. Despite the risks posed by novel VRIs, the …

A globally consistent local-scale assessment of future tropical cyclone risk

N Bloemendaal, H de Moel, AB Martinez, S Muis… - Science …, 2022 - science.org
There is considerable uncertainty surrounding future changes in tropical cyclone (TC)
frequency and intensity, particularly at local scales. This uncertainty complicates risk …

Hysteresis of the intertropical convergence zone to CO2 forcing

JS Kug, JH Oh, SI An, SW Yeh, SK Min, SW Son… - Nature Climate …, 2022 - nature.com
With the unprecedented rate of global warming in recent decades, whether or not
anthropogenic climate change is irreversible is an important question. Based on idealized …

Significantly wetter or drier future conditions for one to two thirds of the world's population

R Trancoso, J Syktus, RP Allan, J Croke… - Nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Future projections of precipitation are uncertain, hampering effective climate adaptation
strategies globally. Our understanding of changes across multiple climate model simulations …

Amplified seasonal range in precipitation minus evaporation

RP Allan - Environmental Research Letters, 2023 - iopscience.iop.org
Climate warming is intensifying the global water cycle, including the rate of fresh water flux
between the atmosphere and the surface, determined by precipitation minus evaporation …

Dryland self-expansion enabled by land–atmosphere feedbacks

A Koppa, J Keune, DL Schumacher, K Michaelides… - Science, 2024 - science.org
Dryland expansion causes widespread water scarcity and biodiversity loss. Although the
drying influence of global warming is well established, the role of existing drylands in their …

Changes in Hadley circulation and intertropical convergence zone under strategic stratospheric aerosol geoengineering

W Cheng, DG MacMartin, B Kravitz, D Visioni… - npj Climate and …, 2022 - nature.com
Stratospheric aerosol geoengineering has been proposed as a potential solution to reduce
climate change and its impacts. Here, we explore the responses of the Hadley circulation …

Global changes in extreme tropical cyclone wave heights under projected future climate conditions

G Grossmann-Matheson, IR Young, A Meucci… - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
Tropical cyclone risks are expected to increase with climate change. One such risk is
extreme ocean waves generated by surface winds from these systems. We use synthetic …