Bayesian emulation and history matching of JUNE
We analyze JUNE: a detailed model of COVID-19 transmission with high spatial and
demographic resolution, developed as part of the RAMP initiative. JUNE requires substantial …
demographic resolution, developed as part of the RAMP initiative. JUNE requires substantial …
A scoping review of three dimensions for long-term covid-19 vaccination models: hybrid immunity, individual drivers of vaccinal choice, and human errors
The virus that causes COVID-19 changes over time, occasionally leading to Variants of
Interest (VOIs) and Variants of Concern (VOCs) that can behave differently with respect to …
Interest (VOIs) and Variants of Concern (VOCs) that can behave differently with respect to …
Some challenges of calibrating differentiable agent-based models
Agent-based models (ABMs) are a promising approach to modelling and reasoning about
complex systems, yet their application in practice is impeded by their complexity, discrete …
complex systems, yet their application in practice is impeded by their complexity, discrete …
Differentiable agent-based epidemiology
Mechanistic simulators are an indispensable tool for epidemiology to explore the behavior of
complex, dynamic infections under varying conditions and navigate uncertain environments …
complex, dynamic infections under varying conditions and navigate uncertain environments …
Bayesian calibration of differentiable agent-based models
Agent-based modelling (ABMing) is a powerful and intuitive approach to modelling complex
systems; however, the intractability of ABMs' likelihood functions and the non-differentiability …
systems; however, the intractability of ABMs' likelihood functions and the non-differentiability …
Estimating SARS-CoV-2 variant fitness and the impact of interventions in England using statistical and geo-spatial agent-based models
R Hinch, J Panovska-Griffiths… - … of the Royal …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The SARS-CoV-2 epidemic has been extended by the evolution of more transmissible viral
variants. In autumn 2020, the B. 1.177 lineage became the dominant variant in England …
variants. In autumn 2020, the B. 1.177 lineage became the dominant variant in England …
[HTML][HTML] Facilitating simulation development for global challenge response and anticipation in a timely way
An important subset of today's global crises, such as the 2015 migration crisis in Syria and
the 2020 COVID pandemic, has a rapid and hard-to-extrapolate evolution that complicates …
the 2020 COVID pandemic, has a rapid and hard-to-extrapolate evolution that complicates …
Don't simulate twice: one-shot sensitivity analyses via automatic differentiation
Agent-based models (ABMs) are a promising tool to simulate complex environments. Their
rapid adoption requires scalable specification, efficient data-driven calibration, and …
rapid adoption requires scalable specification, efficient data-driven calibration, and …
Operational response simulation tool for epidemics within refugee and IDP settlements: A scenario-based case study of the Cox's Bazar settlement
J Aylett-Bullock, C Cuesta-Lazaro… - PLOS Computational …, 2021 - journals.plos.org
The spread of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 presents many challenges to
healthcare systems and infrastructures across the world, exacerbating inequalities and …
healthcare systems and infrastructures across the world, exacerbating inequalities and …
Evaluation of COVID-19 intervention policies in South Korea using the stochastic individual-based model
The COVID-19 pandemic has swept the globe, and countries have responded with various
intervention policies to prevent its spread. In this study, we aim to analyze the effectiveness …
intervention policies to prevent its spread. In this study, we aim to analyze the effectiveness …