[图书][B] Statistical foundations of actuarial learning and its applications

MV Wüthrich, M Merz - 2023 - library.oapen.org
This open access book discusses the statistical modeling of insurance problems, a process
which comprises data collection, data analysis and statistical model building to forecast …

[HTML][HTML] Deep quantile and deep composite triplet regression

T Fissler, M Merz, MV Wüthrich - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
A main difficulty in actuarial claim size modeling is that covariates may have different effects
on the body of the conditional distribution and on its tail. To cope with this problem, we …

Gamma mixture density networks and their application to modelling insurance claim amounts

Ł Delong, M Lindholm, MV Wüthrich - Insurance: Mathematics and …, 2021 - Elsevier
We discuss how mixtures of Gamma distributions with mixing probabilities, shape and rate
parameters depending on features can be fitted with neural networks. We develop two …

Phase-type mixture-of-experts regression for loss severities

M Bladt, J Yslas - Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
The task of modeling claim severities is addressed when data is not consistent with the
classical regression assumptions. This framework is common in several lines of business …

Phase-type distributions for claim severity regression modeling

M Bladt - ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of the IAA, 2022 - cambridge.org
This paper addresses the task of modeling severity losses using segmentation when the
data distribution does not fall into the usual regression frameworks. This situation is not …

Leveraging Weather Dynamics in Insurance Claims Triage Using Deep Learning

P Shi, W Zhang, K Shi - Journal of the American Statistical …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
In property insurance claims triage, insurers often use static information to assess the
severity of a claim and to identify the subsequent actions. We hypothesize that the pattern of …

Maximum weighted likelihood estimator for robust heavy-tail modelling of finite mixture models

TC Fung - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
Insurance claim severity data are characterized by complex distributional phenomenons,
where flexible density estimation tools such as the finite mixture models (FMM) are …

[PDF][PDF] A posteriori risk classification and ratemaking with random effects in the mixture-of-experts model

SC Tseung, IW Chan, TC Fung… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2022 - researchgate.net
ABSTRACT A well-designed framework for risk classification and ratemaking in automobile
insurance is key to insurers' profitability and risk management, while also ensuring that …

Distributional Refinement Network: Distributional Forecasting via Deep Learning

B Avanzi, E Dong, PJ Laub, B Wong - arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.00998, 2024 - arxiv.org
A key task in actuarial modelling involves modelling the distributional properties of losses.
Classic (distributional) regression approaches like Generalized Linear Models (GLMs; …

Liu-type shrinkage estimators for mixture of logistic regressions: An osteoporosis study

E Ghanem, A Hatefi, H Usefi - Communications in Statistics …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
The logistic regression model is one of the most powerful statistical methods for the analysis
of binary data. Logistic regression allows using a set of covariates to explain the binary …