Continuing increases in life expectancy beyond previously-held limits have brought to the
fore the critical importance of mortality forecasting. Significant developments in mortality …

The introduction of the Lee–Carter (LC) method marked a breakthrough in mortality
forecasting, providing a simple yet powerful data-driven stochastic approach. The method …

The idea for this book came from the time the authors spent at the Statistics and Applied
Mathematical Sciences Institute (SAMSI) in Research Triangle Park in North Carolina …

A new method is proposed for forecasting age-specific mortality and fertility rates observed
over time. This approach allows for smooth functions of age, is robust for outlying years due …

Background High-resolution data for how mortality and longevity have changed in England,
UK are scarce. We aimed to estimate trends from 2002 to 2019 in life expectancy and …

Lee and Carter (LC) published a new statistical method for forecasting mortality in 1992.
This paper examines its actual and hypothetical forecast errors, and compares them with …

The Lee-Carter method of mortality forecasting assumes an invariant age component and
most applications have adopted a linear time component. The use of the method with …

Human lifespan has increased enormously this century,,. But we remain uncertain about the
forces that reduce mortality, and about the cost implications of ageing populations, and their …

Abstract In 1992, Lee and Carter published a new method for long-run forecasts of the level
and age pattern of mortality, based on a combination of statistical time series methods and a …

Approaches and developments in demographic and population forecasting since 1980 are
reviewed. Three approaches to forecasting demographic processes are extrapolation …