Widening educational inequalities in mortality in more recent birth cohorts: a study of 14 European countries

D Long, JP Mackenbach, S Klokgieters… - J Epidemiol …, 2023 - jech.bmj.com
Background Studies of period changes in educational inequalities in mortality have shown
important changes over time. It is unknown whether a birth cohort perspective paints the …

A forecast reconciliation approach to cause-of-death mortality modeling

H Li, H Li, Y Lu, A Panagiotelis - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
Life expectancy has been increasing sharply around the globe since the second half of the
20th century. Mortality modeling and forecasting have therefore attracted increasing …

Modelling cause-of-death mortality and the impact of cause-elimination

DH Alai, S Arnold, M Sherris - Annals of Actuarial Science, 2015 - cambridge.org
The analysis of causal mortality provides rich insight into changes in mortality trends that are
hidden in population-level data. Therefore, we develop and apply a multinomial logistic …

Modelling mortality with common stochastic long-run trends

S Gaille, M Sherris - The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance-Issues …, 2011 - Springer
Modelling mortality and longevity risk is critical to assessing risk for insurers issuing
longevity risk products. It has challenged practitioners and academics alike because of first …

A multi-population approach to forecasting all-cause mortality using cause-of-death mortality data

P Lyu, A De Waegenaere… - North American Actuarial …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
All-cause mortality is driven by various types of cause-specific mortality. Projecting all-cause
mortality based on cause-of-death mortality allows one to understand the drivers of the …

Forecasting mortality trends allowing for cause-of-death mortality dependence

S Arnold, M Sherris - North American Actuarial Journal, 2013 - Taylor & Francis
Longevity risk is among the most important factors to consider for pricing and risk
management of longevity products. Past improvements in mortality over many years, and the …

Causes-of-death mortality: What do we know on their dependence?

S Arnold, M Sherris - North American Actuarial Journal, 2015 - Taylor & Francis
Over the last century, the assumption usually made was that causes of death are
independent, although it is well-known that dependancies exist. Recent developments in …

International cause-specific mortality rates: New insights from a cointegration analysis

S Arnold-Gaille, M Sherris - ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of the IAA, 2016 - cambridge.org
This paper applies cointegration techniques, developed in econometrics to model long-run
relationships, to cause-of-death data. We analyze the five main causes of death across five …

Forecasting mortality, different approaches for different cause of deaths? The cases of lung cancer; influenza, pneumonia, and bronchitis; and motor vehicle accidents

M Di Cesare, M Murphy - British Actuarial Journal, 2009 - cambridge.org
Most of the methods of mortality forecasting have been assessed using performance on
overall mortality, and few studies address the issue of identifying the appropriate forecasting …

Forecasting mortality: when academia meets practice

S Gaille - European Actuarial Journal, 2012 - Springer
Techniques used in practice often differ from tools developed in academia. The lack of
communication that may exist between academia and practice can then have important …