Conformal prediction: a unified review of theory and new challenges

M Fontana, G Zeni, S Vantini - Bernoulli, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
Conformal prediction: A unified review of theory and new challenges Page 1 Bernoulli 29(1),
2023, 1–23 https://doi.org/10.3150/21-BEJ1447 Conformal prediction: A unified review of …

Conformalized quantile regression

Y Romano, E Patterson… - Advances in neural …, 2019 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Conformal prediction is a technique for constructing prediction intervals that attain valid
coverage in finite samples, without making distributional assumptions. Despite this appeal …

Conformal prediction under covariate shift

RJ Tibshirani, R Foygel Barber… - Advances in neural …, 2019 - proceedings.neurips.cc
We extend conformal prediction methodology beyond the case of exchangeable data. In
particular, we show that a weighted version of conformal prediction can be used to compute …

Classification with valid and adaptive coverage

Y Romano, M Sesia, E Candes - Advances in Neural …, 2020 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Abstract Conformal inference, cross-validation+, and the jackknife+ are hold-out methods
that can be combined with virtually any machine learning algorithm to construct prediction …

Distribution-free predictive inference for regression

J Lei, M G'Sell, A Rinaldo, RJ Tibshirani… - Journal of the …, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
We develop a general framework for distribution-free predictive inference in regression,
using conformal inference. The proposed methodology allows for the construction of a …

Conformal inference of counterfactuals and individual treatment effects

L Lei, EJ Candès - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series …, 2021 - academic.oup.com
Evaluating treatment effect heterogeneity widely informs treatment decision making. At the
moment, much emphasis is placed on the estimation of the conditional average treatment …

Sensitivity analysis of individual treatment effects: A robust conformal inference approach

Y Jin, Z Ren, EJ Candès - Proceedings of the National …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
We propose a model-free framework for sensitivity analysis of individual treatment effects
(ITEs), building upon ideas from conformal inference. For any unit, our procedure reports the …

An exact and robust conformal inference method for counterfactual and synthetic controls

V Chernozhukov, K Wüthrich, Y Zhu - Journal of the American …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
We introduce new inference procedures for counterfactual and synthetic control methods for
policy evaluation. We recast the causal inference problem as a counterfactual prediction and …

[图书][B] Algorithmic learning in a random world

V Vovk, A Gammerman, G Shafer - 2005 - Springer
Vladimir Vovk Alexander Gammerman Glenn Shafer Second Edition Page 1 Vladimir Vovk
Alexander Gammerman Glenn Shafer Algorithmic Learning in a Random World Second …

Distribution-free prediction bands for non-parametric regression

J Lei, L Wasserman - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society …, 2014 - academic.oup.com
We study distribution-free, non-parametric prediction bands with a focus on their finite
sample behaviour. First we investigate and develop different notions of finite sample …