Y Romano, E Patterson… - Advances in neural …, 2019 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Conformal prediction is a technique for constructing prediction intervals that attain valid coverage in finite samples, without making distributional assumptions. Despite this appeal …
We extend conformal prediction methodology beyond the case of exchangeable data. In particular, we show that a weighted version of conformal prediction can be used to compute …
Abstract Conformal inference, cross-validation+, and the jackknife+ are hold-out methods that can be combined with virtually any machine learning algorithm to construct prediction …
We develop a general framework for distribution-free predictive inference in regression, using conformal inference. The proposed methodology allows for the construction of a …
L Lei, EJ Candès - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series …, 2021 - academic.oup.com
Evaluating treatment effect heterogeneity widely informs treatment decision making. At the moment, much emphasis is placed on the estimation of the conditional average treatment …
Y Jin, Z Ren, EJ Candès - Proceedings of the National …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
We propose a model-free framework for sensitivity analysis of individual treatment effects (ITEs), building upon ideas from conformal inference. For any unit, our procedure reports the …
We introduce new inference procedures for counterfactual and synthetic control methods for policy evaluation. We recast the causal inference problem as a counterfactual prediction and …
Vladimir Vovk Alexander Gammerman Glenn Shafer Second Edition Page 1 Vladimir Vovk Alexander Gammerman Glenn Shafer Algorithmic Learning in a Random World Second …
J Lei, L Wasserman - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society …, 2014 - academic.oup.com
We study distribution-free, non-parametric prediction bands with a focus on their finite sample behaviour. First we investigate and develop different notions of finite sample …